nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. cardinals @ steelers week 10, 2003

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

ARI logo
ARICardinals
3-5
15
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
38°F
5 mph
28
PITSteelers
2-6
PIT logo
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
38°F
5 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
3
6
6
15
Steelers
0
7
15
0
22

Game Statistics

General
Cardinals logo
Steelers logo
Total Yards
379
246
Total Plays
77
52
Yards / Play
4.9
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.21
-0.11
Passing Yards
283
159
Comp/Att
23/44(52%)
12/24(50%)
Yards / Pass
6.4
6.6
EPA / Pass
-0.05
+0.20
Rushing Yards
96
87
Rush Attempts
28
27
Yards / Rush
3.4
3.2
EPA / Rush
-0.24
-0.35
Downs & Conversions
Cardinals logo
Steelers logo
1st Downs
19
11
Passing 1st downs
13
7
Rushing 1st downs
4
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
19%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
16
13
Red Zone %
33%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Cardinals logo
Steelers logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-5.19
-3.77
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-24
--
Sack EPA
-11.55
-0.66
Penalties
8
6
Penalty Yards
81
69
Penalty EPA
-7.29
-6.79

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
ARI logo
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Cardinals Offense vs Steelers Defense
Cardinals logo
Steelers logo

Total

Points / Game
32
15
Yards / Game
26
9
Passing Yards / Game
16
17
Rushing Yards / Game
29
13

EPA

EPA / Play
32
9
EPA / Pass
30
20
EPA / Rush
31
4

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
3
4
Interceptions / Game
29
20
Fumbles / Game
19
18
Turnover EPA / Game
1
22

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
14
6
4th Down Efficiency
21
14
RZ Efficiency
30
17
Steelers Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Steelers logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
19
32
Yards / Game
22
26
Passing Yards / Game
9
19
Rushing Yards / Game
30
19

EPA

EPA / Play
27
30
EPA / Pass
17
32
EPA / Rush
32
15

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
14
4
Interceptions / Game
15
25
Fumbles / Game
16
14
Turnover EPA / Game
12
5

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
18
32
4th Down Efficiency
16
6
RZ Efficiency
23
29

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

ARI logo

Cardinals

3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/21
-3
L
W
P
12/29
-30
L
L
P
09/07
-18
L
L
P
09/14
-38
L
L
P
09/21
7
W
W
P
09/28
-24
L
L
P
10/05
-17
L
L
P
10/12
-8
L
L
P
10/26
3
W
W
P
11/02
3
W
W
P
PIT logo

Steelers

3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/05
3
W
L
P
01/11
-3
L
W
P
09/07
19
W
W
P
09/14
-21
L
L
P
09/21
7
W
W
P
09/28
-17
L
L
P
10/05
-20
L
L
P
10/12
-3
L
W
P
10/26
-12
L
L
P
11/02
-7
L
L
P