ARICardinals
7-3
17
TBD
Nissan Stadium
59°F
9 mph
20
TENTitans
4-6
TBD
Nissan Stadium
59°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
3
7
7
17
Titans
3
3
7
7
20
Spread
+3.5
Total
UNDER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
292
532
Total Plays
52
70
Yards / Play
5.6
7.6
EPA / Play
+0.27
+0.20
Passing Yards
217
369
Comp/Att
21/31(68%)
27/43(63%)
Yards / Pass
7.0
8.6
EPA / Pass
+0.17
+0.19
Rushing Yards
75
163
Rush Attempts
20
23
Yards / Rush
3.8
7.1
EPA / Rush
-0.02
+0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
20
Passing 1st downs
10
16
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
42%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
16
Red Zone %
100%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-1.89
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-3
-18
Sack EPA
-1.45
-6.79
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
25
--
Penalty EPA
-2.85
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
TENTitansFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-3.5
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model66.6%
Spread Pick
Titans-3.5
Expected Value
+2.0%
Cover Probability
53.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+155
Home nfelo
1,545
Away nfelo
1,574
Home Field
+51.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+132.7
Home QB Adjustment
+12.5
Away QB Adjustment
-120.2
Market Regression
+41.9
Final Difference
120.3
Model Spread
-4.5
Quarterbacks
M. Leinart
Proj. Value
-1.4
Team Elo Adj
-120.2
V. Young
Proj. Value
-0.9
Team Elo Adj
+12.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
28
Yards / Game
12
27
Passing Yards / Game
8
25
Rushing Yards / Game
27
11
EPA
EPA / Play
17
27
EPA / Pass
13
26
EPA / Rush
19
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
32
Interceptions / Game
17
7
Fumbles / Game
31
28
Turnover EPA / Game
5
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
26
4th Down Efficiency
13
31
RZ Efficiency
1
27
Titans Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
20
Yards / Game
13
24
Passing Yards / Game
31
20
Rushing Yards / Game
2
16
EPA
EPA / Play
13
15
EPA / Pass
17
15
EPA / Rush
2
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
28
Interceptions / Game
14
8
Fumbles / Game
29
26
Turnover EPA / Game
22
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
11
4th Down Efficiency
12
19
RZ Efficiency
9
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U
Titans
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U