ARICardinals
4-4
24
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
030
MINVikings
5-4
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
7
10
0
7
24
Vikings
7
7
10
0
24
Spread
-2
Total
OVER
39.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
290
217
Total Plays
70
54
Yards / Play
4.1
4.0
EPA / Play
-0.17
-0.14
Passing Yards
155
145
Comp/Att
20/38(53%)
20/28(71%)
Yards / Pass
4.1
5.2
EPA / Pass
-0.48
-0.07
Rushing Yards
135
72
Rush Attempts
28
24
Yards / Rush
4.8
3.0
EPA / Rush
+0.07
-0.37
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
16
Passing 1st downs
12
7
Rushing 1st downs
8
4
Penalty 1st downs
4
5
3rd Down %
31%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
13
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-13.02
-4.57
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-43
-24
Sack EPA
-9.29
-5.28
Penalties
8
10
Penalty Yards
96
73
Penalty EPA
-12.15
-10.10
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
-2.0
Model
-2.0
Win Probability
Market54.2%
Model54.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+58
Home nfelo
1,532
Away nfelo
1,591
Home Field
+87.3
Base HFA
+57.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.9
Time Adj
+10.2
Net QB Adjustment
+29.4
Home QB Adjustment
+29.1
Away QB Adjustment
-0.3
Market Regression
+1.8
Final Difference
29.3
Model Spread
-2.0
Quarterbacks
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-0.3
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
+29.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
5
Yards / Game
8
3
Passing Yards / Game
5
4
Rushing Yards / Game
17
19
EPA
EPA / Play
20
4
EPA / Pass
21
2
EPA / Rush
20
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
10
Interceptions / Game
26
14
Fumbles / Game
29
2
Turnover EPA / Game
7
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
15
4th Down Efficiency
14
2
RZ Efficiency
5
13
Vikings Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
14
Yards / Game
28
2
Passing Yards / Game
30
18
Rushing Yards / Game
32
9
EPA
EPA / Play
23
2
EPA / Pass
14
3
EPA / Rush
32
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
7
Interceptions / Game
2
14
Fumbles / Game
22
5
Turnover EPA / Game
29
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
14
4th Down Efficiency
22
13
RZ Efficiency
29
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
4-5-1
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
Vikings
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
3-7
O/U