ARICardinals
6-5
22
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
023
MINVikings
9-2
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
3
6
10
3
22
Vikings
3
3
7
10
23
Spread
+3.5
Total
UNDER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
406
273
Total Plays
77
51
Yards / Play
5.3
5.4
EPA / Play
+0.03
+0.02
Passing Yards
252
205
Comp/Att
31/45(69%)
21/31(68%)
Yards / Pass
5.6
6.6
EPA / Pass
+0.02
-0.14
Rushing Yards
154
68
Rush Attempts
31
15
Yards / Rush
5.0
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.07
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
19
Passing 1st downs
13
13
Rushing 1st downs
10
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
38%
13%
3rd Down Conversions
5
1
3rd Down Attempts
13
8
Red Zone %
17%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
6
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-2.70
-5.61
Sacks
1
5
Sack Yards
-8
-30
Sack EPA
-0.82
-8.89
Penalties
10
3
Penalty Yards
96
--
Penalty EPA
-9.53
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model67.7%
Spread Pick
Vikings-3.5
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
54.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+164
Home nfelo
1,593
Away nfelo
1,474
Home Field
+62.0
Base HFA
+40.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.2
Time Adj
+7.3
Net QB Adjustment
-16.4
Home QB Adjustment
+4.4
Away QB Adjustment
+20.9
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
128.5
Model Spread
-5.5
Quarterbacks
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+20.9
S. Darnold
Proj. Value
-0.6
Team Elo Adj
+4.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
4
Yards / Game
11
14
Passing Yards / Game
28
31
Rushing Yards / Game
7
2
EPA
EPA / Play
8
2
EPA / Pass
11
7
EPA / Rush
5
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
4
Interceptions / Game
11
1
Fumbles / Game
22
13
Turnover EPA / Game
20
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
2
4th Down Efficiency
27
1
RZ Efficiency
17
18
Vikings Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
16
Yards / Game
12
20
Passing Yards / Game
3
8
Rushing Yards / Game
19
20
EPA
EPA / Play
17
25
EPA / Pass
17
24
EPA / Rush
23
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
28
Interceptions / Game
18
25
Fumbles / Game
19
19
Turnover EPA / Game
11
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
28
4th Down Efficiency
29
17
RZ Efficiency
19
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
3-6-1
O/U
Vikings
8-2
SU
6-3-1
ATS
4-6
O/U