LACChargers
-
16
TBD
Paycor Stadium
83°F
6 mph
13
CINBengals
-
TBD
Paycor Stadium
83°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
0
6
0
10
16
Bengals
7
0
6
0
13
Spread
-2.5
Total
UNDER
41.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
362
295
Total Plays
71
67
Yards / Play
5.1
4.4
EPA / Play
-0.14
-0.22
Passing Yards
207
173
Comp/Att
16/30(53%)
23/36(64%)
Yards / Pass
6.9
4.8
EPA / Pass
-0.01
-0.18
Rushing Yards
155
122
Rush Attempts
39
28
Yards / Rush
4.0
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.15
-0.30
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
19
Passing 1st downs
10
14
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
38%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
16
14
Red Zone %
33%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-9.84
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-1
-20
Sack EPA
-1.50
-4.33
Penalties
6
7
Penalty Yards
35
44
Penalty EPA
-4.02
-8.72
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model56.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-77
Home nfelo
1,400
Away nfelo
1,496
Home Field
+7.3
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
-1.1
Net QB Adjustment
+12.2
Home QB Adjustment
-4.0
Away QB Adjustment
-16.2
Market Regression
+22.1
Final Difference
-46.1
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
T. Taylor
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
-16.2
J. Burrow
Proj. Value
+4.0
Team Elo Adj
-4.0
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
21
Yards / Game
10
25
Passing Yards / Game
2
2
Rushing Yards / Game
18
29
EPA
EPA / Play
23
26
EPA / Pass
10
24
EPA / Rush
31
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
6
Interceptions / Game
7
20
Fumbles / Game
8
24
Turnover EPA / Game
30
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
20
4th Down Efficiency
25
24
RZ Efficiency
21
26
Bengals Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
23
Yards / Game
30
10
Passing Yards / Game
27
10
Rushing Yards / Game
23
17
EPA
EPA / Play
25
13
EPA / Pass
23
19
EPA / Rush
30
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
18
Interceptions / Game
11
16
Fumbles / Game
27
24
Turnover EPA / Game
6
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
22
4th Down Efficiency
4
26
RZ Efficiency
29
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
3-7
SU
3-5-2
ATS
6-4
O/U
Bengals
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U