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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. chargers @ broncos week 11, 2006

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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LAC logo
LACChargers
7-2
35
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
34°F
8 mph
27
DENBroncos
7-2
DEN logo
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
34°F
8 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
7
0
14
14
35
Broncos
0
14
4
3
21

Game Statistics

General
Chargers logo
Broncos logo
Total Yards
342
326
Total Plays
56
65
Yards / Play
6.1
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.28
+0.08
Passing Yards
217
168
Comp/Att
19/26(73%)
13/28(46%)
Yards / Pass
8.3
6.0
EPA / Pass
+0.22
-0.17
Rushing Yards
125
158
Rush Attempts
29
35
Yards / Rush
4.3
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.21
+0.11
Downs & Conversions
Chargers logo
Broncos logo
1st Downs
21
20
Passing 1st downs
12
9
Rushing 1st downs
9
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
67%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
8
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
4
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Chargers logo
Broncos logo
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-10.71
-3.52
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-5
-15
Sack EPA
-0.09
-3.13
Penalties
5
5
Penalty Yards
35
45
Penalty EPA
-4.22
-0.88

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
LAC logo
LACChargersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Chargers Offense vs Broncos Defense
Chargers logo
Broncos logo

Total

Points / Game
1
6
Yards / Game
4
15
Passing Yards / Game
18
14
Rushing Yards / Game
2
12

EPA

EPA / Play
1
7
EPA / Pass
2
10
EPA / Rush
1
18

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
32
20
Interceptions / Game
3
15
Fumbles / Game
3
9
Turnover EPA / Game
32
15

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
6
13
4th Down Efficiency
12
5
RZ Efficiency
1
7
Broncos Offense vs Chargers Defense
Broncos logo
Chargers logo

Total

Points / Game
17
8
Yards / Game
21
8
Passing Yards / Game
27
29
Rushing Yards / Game
8
6

EPA

EPA / Play
17
16
EPA / Pass
23
6
EPA / Rush
9
22

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
19
22
Interceptions / Game
20
12
Fumbles / Game
17
13
Turnover EPA / Game
12
7

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
20
7
4th Down Efficiency
12
2
RZ Efficiency
11
29

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

LAC logo

Chargers

7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/31
-16
L
L
P
09/11
27
W
W
P
09/17
33
W
W
P
10/01
-3
L
L
P
10/08
10
W
W
P
10/15
29
W
W
P
10/22
-3
L
L
P
10/29
14
W
W
P
11/05
7
W
L
P
11/12
8
W
W
P
DEN logo

Broncos

7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/22
-17
L
L
P
09/10
-8
L
L
P
09/17
3
W
L
P
09/24
10
W
W
P
10/09
10
W
W
P
10/15
10
W
L
P
10/22
10
W
W
P
10/29
-3
L
L
P
11/05
11
W
W
P
11/12
4
W
L
P