LACChargers
2-2
30
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
70°F
028
CLEBrowns
2-2
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
3
14
10
3
30
Browns
14
7
7
0
28
Spread
-1.5
Total
OVER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
465
443
Total Plays
69
65
Yards / Play
6.7
6.8
EPA / Play
+0.25
+0.16
Passing Yards
227
--
Comp/Att
22/34(65%)
21/34(62%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
--
EPA / Pass
+0.13
+0.21
Rushing Yards
238
213
Rush Attempts
34
31
Yards / Rush
7.0
6.9
EPA / Rush
+0.45
+0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
27
Passing 1st downs
13
15
Rushing 1st downs
9
11
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
30%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
10
10
Red Zone %
40%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-4.22
Sacks
1
--
Sack Yards
-1
--
Sack EPA
-0.96
--
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
17
65
Penalty EPA
-4.07
-7.93
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-2.0
Current
-1.5
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market53.6%
Model53.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+0
Home nfelo
1,527
Away nfelo
1,534
Home Field
+73.0
Base HFA
+38.7
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.5
Time Adj
+20.8
Net QB Adjustment
-65.8
Home QB Adjustment
-56.8
Away QB Adjustment
+8.9
Market Regression
+1.0
Final Difference
-25.1
Model Spread
+1.5
Quarterbacks
J. Herbert
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+8.9
J. Brissett
Proj. Value
-2.1
Team Elo Adj
-56.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
19
Yards / Game
8
12
Passing Yards / Game
5
16
Rushing Yards / Game
30
25
EPA
EPA / Play
18
23
EPA / Pass
12
11
EPA / Rush
17
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
12
Interceptions / Game
6
22
Fumbles / Game
27
14
Turnover EPA / Game
29
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
17
4th Down Efficiency
15
9
RZ Efficiency
18
15
Browns Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
23
Yards / Game
15
20
Passing Yards / Game
14
7
Rushing Yards / Game
5
27
EPA
EPA / Play
15
14
EPA / Pass
20
9
EPA / Rush
4
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
16
Interceptions / Game
10
5
Fumbles / Game
11
27
Turnover EPA / Game
28
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
11
4th Down Efficiency
8
9
RZ Efficiency
20
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
8-2
O/U
Browns
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U