LACChargers
4-1
27
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
40°F
9 mph
30
KCChiefs
2-3
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
40°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
0
6
7
14
27
Chiefs
14
6
7
3
30
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
349
355
Total Plays
71
59
Yards / Play
4.9
6.0
EPA / Play
+0.01
+0.01
Passing Yards
252
221
Comp/Att
26/44(59%)
15/27(56%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
8.2
EPA / Pass
+0.06
+0.02
Rushing Yards
97
134
Rush Attempts
23
30
Yards / Rush
4.2
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.17
+0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
19
Passing 1st downs
15
11
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
40%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-12.24
-4.73
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-15
-11
Sack EPA
-5.96
-5.67
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
60
50
Penalty EPA
-7.13
-5.26
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
12
Yards / Game
4
22
Passing Yards / Game
18
21
Rushing Yards / Game
2
20
EPA
EPA / Play
1
21
EPA / Pass
2
19
EPA / Rush
1
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
9
Interceptions / Game
3
18
Fumbles / Game
3
4
Turnover EPA / Game
32
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
19
4th Down Efficiency
12
25
RZ Efficiency
1
22
Chiefs Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
8
Yards / Game
19
8
Passing Yards / Game
10
29
Rushing Yards / Game
9
6
EPA
EPA / Play
13
16
EPA / Pass
14
6
EPA / Rush
16
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
22
Interceptions / Game
9
12
Fumbles / Game
20
13
Turnover EPA / Game
18
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
7
4th Down Efficiency
9
2
RZ Efficiency
2
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U