LACChargers
3-0
18
TBD
MetLife Stadium
81°F
4 mph
21
NYGGiants
0-3
TBD
MetLife Stadium
81°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
0
10
8
0
18
Giants
7
6
8
0
21
Spread
+6
Total
UNDER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
340
252
Total Plays
57
70
Yards / Play
6.0
3.6
EPA / Play
-0.09
-0.03
Passing Yards
186
89
Comp/Att
23/41(56%)
14/21(67%)
Yards / Pass
4.5
4.2
EPA / Pass
-0.52
-0.32
Rushing Yards
154
163
Rush Attempts
14
43
Yards / Rush
11.0
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.83
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
20
Passing 1st downs
8
6
Rushing 1st downs
6
11
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
33%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
15
Red Zone %
0%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-15.03
--
Sacks
2
6
Sack Yards
-17
-30
Sack EPA
-2.65
-8.67
Penalties
14
8
Penalty Yards
107
43
Penalty EPA
-11.96
-7.69
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-6.0
Current
-6.0
Model
-6.0
Win Probability
Market69.8%
Model69.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-190
Home nfelo
1,361
Away nfelo
1,554
Home Field
+59.4
Base HFA
+38.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+20.8
Net QB Adjustment
-56.3
Home QB Adjustment
-51.5
Away QB Adjustment
+4.8
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-145.5
Model Spread
+6.0
Quarterbacks
J. Herbert
Proj. Value
-0.1
Team Elo Adj
+4.8
J. Dart
Proj. Value
-0.0
Team Elo Adj
-51.5
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
29
Yards / Game
11
29
Passing Yards / Game
2
15
Rushing Yards / Game
15
30
EPA
EPA / Play
22
29
EPA / Pass
22
22
EPA / Rush
11
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
8
Interceptions / Game
25
28
Fumbles / Game
15
28
Turnover EPA / Game
8
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
18
4th Down Efficiency
9
25
RZ Efficiency
26
32
Giants Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
11
Yards / Game
15
4
Passing Yards / Game
9
4
Rushing Yards / Game
10
18
EPA
EPA / Play
13
10
EPA / Pass
20
4
EPA / Rush
9
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
5
Interceptions / Game
14
7
Fumbles / Game
15
32
Turnover EPA / Game
18
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
6
4th Down Efficiency
19
18
RZ Efficiency
27
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
7-3
SU
8-2
ATS
6-4
O/U
Giants
1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U