LACChargers
5-7
16
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
37°F
6 mph
28
CARPanthers
4-8
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
37°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
0
7
9
0
16
Panthers
10
13
3
0
26
Spread
-1
Total
UNDER
48.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
278
272
Total Plays
65
67
Yards / Play
4.3
4.1
EPA / Play
-0.24
-0.06
Passing Yards
220
146
Comp/Att
21/40(53%)
10/27(37%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
5.4
EPA / Pass
-0.22
-0.29
Rushing Yards
58
126
Rush Attempts
20
38
Yards / Rush
2.9
3.3
EPA / Rush
-0.18
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
17
Passing 1st downs
10
9
Rushing 1st downs
7
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
38%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
1
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-16.99
-5.35
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-16
-14
Sack EPA
-12.85
-3.69
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
32
--
Penalty EPA
-6.90
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-1.0
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market52.2%
Model62.3%
Spread Pick
Panthers-1.0
Expected Value
+20.8%
Cover Probability
62.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+149
Home nfelo
1,566
Away nfelo
1,511
Home Field
+87.8
Base HFA
+57.1
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+30.7
Net QB Adjustment
+6.0
Home QB Adjustment
-1.5
Away QB Adjustment
-7.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
87.6
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
-7.5
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
-1.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
26
Yards / Game
13
21
Passing Yards / Game
10
32
Rushing Yards / Game
26
7
EPA
EPA / Play
17
11
EPA / Pass
15
17
EPA / Rush
27
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
14
Interceptions / Game
31
4
Fumbles / Game
31
8
Turnover EPA / Game
2
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
11
4th Down Efficiency
14
27
RZ Efficiency
23
2
Panthers Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
29
Yards / Game
19
15
Passing Yards / Game
18
23
Rushing Yards / Game
10
12
EPA
EPA / Play
22
13
EPA / Pass
25
13
EPA / Rush
14
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
14
Interceptions / Game
28
1
Fumbles / Game
16
12
Turnover EPA / Game
5
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
17
4th Down Efficiency
7
25
RZ Efficiency
11
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
6-3-1
O/U
Panthers
3-7
SU
2-7-1
ATS
5-5
O/U