LACChargers
9-7
32
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
035
OAKRaiders
9-7
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Chargers
0
14
0
15
3
32
Raiders
10
7
3
9
6
35
Spread
+3
Total
OVER
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
442
346
Total Plays
89
75
Yards / Play
5.0
4.6
EPA / Play
+0.11
+0.18
Passing Yards
357
172
Comp/Att
34/65(52%)
21/38(55%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
4.5
EPA / Pass
+0.24
-0.14
Rushing Yards
85
174
Rush Attempts
21
34
Yards / Rush
4.0
5.1
EPA / Rush
-0.24
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
24
Passing 1st downs
20
10
Rushing 1st downs
5
9
Penalty 1st downs
2
5
3rd Down %
22%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
4
8
3rd Down Attempts
18
17
Red Zone %
100%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
4
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-2.65
+5.56
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-28
-18
Sack EPA
-5.83
-3.87
Penalties
10
4
Penalty Yards
108
38
Penalty EPA
-11.75
-5.69
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model59.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-56
Home nfelo
1,503
Away nfelo
1,561
Home Field
+32.5
Base HFA
+36.2
Divisional Adj
-16.3
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+12.6
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-30.8
Home QB Adjustment
-10.7
Away QB Adjustment
+20.1
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-68.3
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
J. Herbert
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+20.1
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
-10.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
26
Yards / Game
4
14
Passing Yards / Game
5
11
Rushing Yards / Game
21
15
EPA
EPA / Play
7
28
EPA / Pass
7
28
EPA / Rush
16
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
11
Interceptions / Game
21
32
Fumbles / Game
7
26
Turnover EPA / Game
15
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
16
4th Down Efficiency
4
32
RZ Efficiency
3
32
Raiders Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
29
Yards / Game
8
23
Passing Yards / Game
2
23
Rushing Yards / Game
28
30
EPA
EPA / Play
19
25
EPA / Pass
15
17
EPA / Rush
28
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
27
Interceptions / Game
17
22
Fumbles / Game
32
7
Turnover EPA / Game
11
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
32
4th Down Efficiency
7
1
RZ Efficiency
29
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
8-2
O/U
Raiders
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U