LACChargers
1-1
23
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
80°F
5 mph
35
LARRams
2-0
TBD
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
80°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
6
7
7
3
23
Rams
14
1
14
0
29
Spread
-7
Total
OVER
49
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
356
521
Total Plays
52
72
Yards / Play
6.8
7.2
EPA / Play
+0.06
+0.21
Passing Yards
215
350
Comp/Att
18/30(60%)
29/36(81%)
Yards / Pass
7.2
9.7
EPA / Pass
+0.06
+0.45
Rushing Yards
141
171
Rush Attempts
20
35
Yards / Rush
7.0
4.9
EPA / Rush
+0.24
+0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
33
Passing 1st downs
9
18
Rushing 1st downs
7
12
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
54%
73%
3rd Down Conversions
7
8
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
50%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-7.37
-7.91
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-11
-4
Sack EPA
-2.85
-1.46
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
--
--
Penalty EPA
--
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-5.5
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model67.9%
Spread Pick
Chargers+7.0
Expected Value
+8.1%
Cover Probability
53.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+94
Home nfelo
1,652
Away nfelo
1,603
Home Field
+56.6
Base HFA
+56.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-11.1
Home QB Adjustment
+11.1
Away QB Adjustment
+22.2
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
130.5
Model Spread
-5.5
Quarterbacks
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+22.2
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+11.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
18
Yards / Game
13
20
Passing Yards / Game
5
15
Rushing Yards / Game
18
17
EPA
EPA / Play
7
17
EPA / Pass
3
10
EPA / Rush
9
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
26
Interceptions / Game
11
5
Fumbles / Game
7
6
Turnover EPA / Game
26
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
6
4th Down Efficiency
1
21
RZ Efficiency
9
15
Rams Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
11
Yards / Game
3
10
Passing Yards / Game
9
8
Rushing Yards / Game
3
10
EPA
EPA / Play
3
9
EPA / Pass
5
8
EPA / Rush
3
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
25
Interceptions / Game
12
18
Fumbles / Game
6
7
Turnover EPA / Game
28
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
19
4th Down Efficiency
19
23
RZ Efficiency
19
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
3-7
O/U
Rams
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U