LACChargers
4-1
6
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
63°F
15 mph
34
BALRavens
4-1
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
63°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
0
6
0
0
6
Ravens
7
10
10
7
34
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
50.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
208
327
Total Plays
53
68
Yards / Play
3.9
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.43
+0.12
Passing Yards
182
140
Comp/Att
22/39(56%)
19/27(70%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
5.2
EPA / Pass
-0.36
-0.13
Rushing Yards
26
187
Rush Attempts
12
38
Yards / Rush
2.2
4.9
EPA / Rush
-0.27
+0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
27
Passing 1st downs
11
12
Rushing 1st downs
3
14
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
25%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
11
Red Zone %
50%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
1
4
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.40
-8.97
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-13
-27
Sack EPA
-3.49
-3.29
Penalties
4
2
Penalty Yards
35
15
Penalty EPA
-3.74
-1.82
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
BALRavensFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model65.7%
Spread Pick
Ravens-3.0
Expected Value
+9.5%
Cover Probability
53.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+155
Home nfelo
1,626
Away nfelo
1,545
Home Field
+78.2
Base HFA
+41.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.5
Time Adj
+22.3
Net QB Adjustment
-4.1
Home QB Adjustment
+18.0
Away QB Adjustment
+22.1
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
112.7
Model Spread
-4.5
Quarterbacks
J. Herbert
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+22.1
L. Jackson
Proj. Value
+5.8
Team Elo Adj
+18.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
18
Yards / Game
4
24
Passing Yards / Game
5
29
Rushing Yards / Game
21
2
EPA
EPA / Play
7
23
EPA / Pass
7
30
EPA / Rush
16
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
3
Interceptions / Game
21
27
Fumbles / Game
7
27
Turnover EPA / Game
15
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
3
4th Down Efficiency
4
23
RZ Efficiency
3
12
Ravens Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
29
Yards / Game
6
23
Passing Yards / Game
6
23
Rushing Yards / Game
3
30
EPA
EPA / Play
16
25
EPA / Pass
20
17
EPA / Rush
8
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
27
Interceptions / Game
28
22
Fumbles / Game
13
7
Turnover EPA / Game
5
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
32
4th Down Efficiency
3
1
RZ Efficiency
13
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
3-7
O/U
Ravens
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U