KCChiefs
4-5
10
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
013
INDColts
7-2
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
0
3
7
0
10
Colts
0
3
7
3
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
234
216
Total Plays
56
61
Yards / Play
4.2
3.5
EPA / Play
-0.35
-0.31
Passing Yards
162
150
Comp/Att
19/27(70%)
16/32(50%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
4.7
EPA / Pass
+0.00
-0.33
Rushing Yards
72
66
Rush Attempts
27
27
Yards / Rush
2.7
2.4
EPA / Rush
-0.32
-0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
16
Passing 1st downs
8
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
40%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
15
Red Zone %
100%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-5.00
-0.65
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-7
-13
Sack EPA
-5.80
-2.88
Penalties
5
2
Penalty Yards
33
10
Penalty EPA
-5.04
-1.20
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
2
Yards / Game
31
3
Passing Yards / Game
12
3
Rushing Yards / Game
32
14
EPA
EPA / Play
30
10
EPA / Pass
28
7
EPA / Rush
29
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
28
Interceptions / Game
24
2
Fumbles / Game
15
13
Turnover EPA / Game
13
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
31
4th Down Efficiency
3
23
RZ Efficiency
23
22
Colts Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
15
Yards / Game
3
12
Passing Yards / Game
23
22
Rushing Yards / Game
20
28
EPA
EPA / Play
2
14
EPA / Pass
3
10
EPA / Rush
4
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
1
Interceptions / Game
11
24
Fumbles / Game
4
18
Turnover EPA / Game
31
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
1
4th Down Efficiency
10
1
RZ Efficiency
10
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U