KCChiefs
4-10
20
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
025
DETLions
6-8
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chiefs
0
14
0
6
20
Lions
7
4
3
3
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
407
236
Total Plays
71
50
Yards / Play
5.7
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.06
-0.03
Passing Yards
344
99
Comp/Att
33/49(67%)
9/16(56%)
Yards / Pass
7.0
6.2
EPA / Pass
-0.07
-0.29
Rushing Yards
63
137
Rush Attempts
18
32
Yards / Rush
3.5
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.08
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
12
Passing 1st downs
16
6
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
36%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-9.57
-1.99
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-30
-16
Sack EPA
-5.81
-4.30
Penalties
6
4
Penalty Yards
46
--
Penalty EPA
-12.68
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
KCChiefsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Chiefs Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
32
Yards / Game
31
32
Passing Yards / Game
12
28
Rushing Yards / Game
32
23
EPA
EPA / Play
30
25
EPA / Pass
28
26
EPA / Rush
29
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
4
Interceptions / Game
24
13
Fumbles / Game
15
2
Turnover EPA / Game
13
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
30
4th Down Efficiency
3
30
RZ Efficiency
23
31
Lions Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
15
Yards / Game
19
12
Passing Yards / Game
4
22
Rushing Yards / Game
31
28
EPA
EPA / Play
22
14
EPA / Pass
20
10
EPA / Rush
25
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
1
Interceptions / Game
30
24
Fumbles / Game
22
18
Turnover EPA / Game
4
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
1
4th Down Efficiency
21
1
RZ Efficiency
18
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Lions
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U