INDColts
6-3
41
TBD
Soldier Field
43°F
3 mph
10
CHIBears
4-5
TBD
Soldier Field
43°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
7
20
14
0
41
Bears
3
0
0
7
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
486
224
Total Plays
67
54
Yards / Play
7.3
4.1
EPA / Play
+0.33
-0.26
Passing Yards
--
145
Comp/Att
17/28(61%)
14/24(58%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.0
EPA / Pass
+0.23
-0.56
Rushing Yards
275
79
Rush Attempts
39
26
Yards / Rush
7.1
3.0
EPA / Rush
+0.35
-0.39
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
31
14
Passing 1st downs
13
8
Rushing 1st downs
15
4
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
40%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
10
12
Red Zone %
43%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
7
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
5
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
3
Turnover EPA
-6.64
-16.75
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-30
Sack EPA
--
-5.83
Penalties
10
9
Penalty Yards
91
50
Penalty EPA
-9.48
-6.14
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
12
Yards / Game
2
19
Passing Yards / Game
15
4
Rushing Yards / Game
21
24
EPA
EPA / Play
1
3
EPA / Pass
1
6
EPA / Rush
7
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
1
Interceptions / Game
2
15
Fumbles / Game
9
6
Turnover EPA / Game
30
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
1
4th Down Efficiency
8
3
RZ Efficiency
3
5
Bears Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
19
Yards / Game
32
28
Passing Yards / Game
27
32
Rushing Yards / Game
26
26
EPA
EPA / Play
32
25
EPA / Pass
32
25
EPA / Rush
29
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
32
Interceptions / Game
14
12
Fumbles / Game
30
9
Turnover EPA / Game
8
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
25
4th Down Efficiency
28
8
RZ Efficiency
32
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U