INDColts
4-10
10
TBD
MetLife Stadium
52°F
14 mph
38
NYGGiants
8-6
TBD
MetLife Stadium
52°F
14 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
3
0
7
0
10
Giants
0
18
7
7
32
Spread
-5.5
Total
OVER
38.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
252
394
Total Plays
56
61
Yards / Play
4.5
6.5
EPA / Play
-0.24
+0.24
Passing Yards
124
--
Comp/Att
17/27(63%)
19/24(79%)
Yards / Pass
4.6
--
EPA / Pass
-0.33
+0.27
Rushing Yards
128
217
Rush Attempts
27
37
Yards / Rush
4.7
5.9
EPA / Rush
-0.02
+0.17
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
26
Passing 1st downs
7
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
14
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
25%
57%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
7
Red Zone %
50%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
1
4
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-7.96
-5.33
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-17
--
Sack EPA
-2.88
--
Penalties
7
3
Penalty Yards
60
20
Penalty EPA
-6.72
-3.54
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-5.5
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market68.0%
Model64.2%
Spread Pick
Colts+5.5
Expected Value
+0.8%
Cover Probability
52.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+54
Home nfelo
1,395
Away nfelo
1,388
Home Field
+41.7
Base HFA
+41.7
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+6.0
Home QB Adjustment
+20.5
Away QB Adjustment
+14.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
101.7
Model Spread
-4.0
Quarterbacks
N. Foles
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+14.5
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
+20.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
22
Yards / Game
27
25
Passing Yards / Game
18
2
Rushing Yards / Game
23
28
EPA
EPA / Play
32
31
EPA / Pass
30
21
EPA / Rush
30
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
24
5
Interceptions / Game
32
32
Fumbles / Game
32
3
Turnover EPA / Game
1
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
5
4th Down Efficiency
23
29
RZ Efficiency
29
10
Giants Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
28
Yards / Game
19
15
Passing Yards / Game
25
18
Rushing Yards / Game
6
20
EPA
EPA / Play
8
10
EPA / Pass
17
16
EPA / Rush
3
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
2
Interceptions / Game
1
24
Fumbles / Game
10
10
Turnover EPA / Game
32
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
9
4th Down Efficiency
16
17
RZ Efficiency
5
32
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Giants
4-5-1
SU
7-3
ATS
4-5-1
O/U