INDColts
7-0
40
TBD
Gillette Stadium
51°F
8 mph
21
NEPatriots
4-3
TBD
Gillette Stadium
51°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
7
14
10
9
40
Patriots
7
0
7
7
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
453
288
Total Plays
76
56
Yards / Play
6.0
5.1
EPA / Play
+0.44
+0.17
Passing Yards
--
254
Comp/Att
28/38(74%)
25/40(63%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.3
EPA / Pass
+0.62
+0.25
Rushing Yards
132
34
Rush Attempts
38
14
Yards / Rush
3.5
2.4
EPA / Rush
+0.14
-0.44
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
17
Passing 1st downs
17
14
Rushing 1st downs
10
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
71%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
12
4
3rd Down Attempts
17
11
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
4
2
Red Zone Attempts
6
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-2.15
-6.55
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-31
Sack EPA
--
-3.56
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
32
24
Penalty EPA
-5.58
-6.31
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
17
Yards / Game
3
24
Passing Yards / Game
11
20
Rushing Yards / Game
19
7
EPA
EPA / Play
1
23
EPA / Pass
1
25
EPA / Rush
9
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
26
Interceptions / Game
5
26
Fumbles / Game
5
29
Turnover EPA / Game
30
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
22
4th Down Efficiency
8
3
RZ Efficiency
7
24
Patriots Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
2
Yards / Game
6
11
Passing Yards / Game
7
23
Rushing Yards / Game
23
15
EPA
EPA / Play
7
10
EPA / Pass
4
6
EPA / Rush
16
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
32
Interceptions / Game
16
9
Fumbles / Game
7
7
Turnover EPA / Game
16
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
11
4th Down Efficiency
3
25
RZ Efficiency
3
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U