nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. commanders @ seahawks week 9, 2017

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

WAS logo
WASCommanders
3-4
17
TBD
Lumen Field
36°F
11 mph
14
SEASeahawks
5-2
SEA logo
TBD
Lumen Field
36°F
11 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
0
7
3
7
17
Seahawks
0
0
0
12
12

Spread

WAS logo
+8.5

Total

UNDER
44.5

Game Statistics

General
Commanders logo
Seahawks logo
Total Yards
244
437
Total Plays
60
77
Yards / Play
4.1
5.7
EPA / Play
-0.20
-0.24
Passing Yards
193
289
Comp/Att
21/31(68%)
24/47(51%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
6.1
EPA / Pass
+0.01
-0.05
Rushing Yards
51
148
Rush Attempts
23
28
Yards / Rush
2.2
5.3
EPA / Rush
-0.50
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
Commanders logo
Seahawks logo
1st Downs
16
22
Passing 1st downs
12
14
Rushing 1st downs
2
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
31%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Commanders logo
Seahawks logo
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.71
-8.58
Sacks
6
2
Sack Yards
-54
-8
Sack EPA
-7.71
-1.69
Penalties
7
16
Penalty Yards
62
138
Penalty EPA
-4.42
-15.40

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-8.5
Model
-9.0

Win Probability

Market76.8%
Model77.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+244
Home nfelo
1,604
Away nfelo
1,464
Home Field
+87.1
Base HFA
+57.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.9
Time Adj
+10.2
Net QB Adjustment
+17.2
Home QB Adjustment
+24.2
Away QB Adjustment
+7.1
Market Regression
+5.8
Final Difference
215.4
Model Spread
-9.0

Quarterbacks

K. Cousins headshot

K. Cousins

Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+7.1
Value
Ptile
12/19
2.0
64
12/24
8.7
94
01/01
-3.8
21
09/10
-3.0
32
09/17
-0.9
45
09/24
10.2
97
10/02
5.5
86
10/15
7.5
92
10/23
3.9
80
10/29
-3.0
31
R. Wilson headshot

R. Wilson

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+24.2
Value
Ptile
01/01
0.9
56
01/07
-0.2
47
01/14
-1.9
35
09/10
-4.1
24
09/17
-1.7
40
09/24
9.5
97
10/01
4.9
84
10/08
-3.1
30
10/22
8.4
94
10/29
10.7
98

Team Matchup Ranks

Commanders Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Commanders logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
16
9
Yards / Game
17
11
Passing Yards / Game
14
9
Rushing Yards / Game
28
20

EPA

EPA / Play
25
8
EPA / Pass
14
6
EPA / Rush
29
14

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
26
10
Interceptions / Game
17
14
Fumbles / Game
25
9
Turnover EPA / Game
6
28

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
31
16
4th Down Efficiency
6
15
RZ Efficiency
17
6
Seahawks Offense vs Commanders Defense
Seahawks logo
Commanders logo

Total

Points / Game
12
27
Yards / Game
15
22
Passing Yards / Game
9
15
Rushing Yards / Game
23
32

EPA

EPA / Play
19
13
EPA / Pass
13
8
EPA / Rush
24
31

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
20
12
Interceptions / Game
13
9
Fumbles / Game
7
9
Turnover EPA / Game
25
17

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
20
7
4th Down Efficiency
7
23
RZ Efficiency
12
11

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

WAS logo

Commanders

4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/19
-11
L
L
U
12/24
20
W
W
O
01/01
-9
L
L
U
09/10
-13
L
L
U
09/17
7
W
W
O
09/24
17
W
W
U
10/02
-9
L
L
O
10/15
2
W
L
O
10/23
-10
L
L
O
10/29
-14
L
L
O
SEA logo

Seahawks

7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/01
2
W
L
O
01/07
20
W
W
U
01/14
-16
L
L
O
09/10
-8
L
L
U
09/17
3
W
L
U
09/24
-6
L
L
O
10/01
28
W
W
O
10/08
6
W
W
U
10/22
17
W
W
U
10/29
3
W
L
O