WASCommanders
0-2
31
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
015
HOUTexans
0-2
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
7
14
7
3
31
Texans
7
0
0
8
15
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
495
263
Total Plays
68
49
Yards / Play
7.3
5.4
EPA / Play
+0.31
+0.04
Passing Yards
--
200
Comp/Att
24/27(89%)
19/29(66%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.9
EPA / Pass
+0.64
+0.05
Rushing Yards
234
63
Rush Attempts
41
19
Yards / Rush
5.7
3.3
EPA / Rush
+0.17
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
17
Passing 1st downs
10
11
Rushing 1st downs
13
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
69%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
9
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
7
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-5.07
-8.71
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-8
Sack EPA
--
-2.16
Penalties
12
7
Penalty Yards
126
57
Penalty EPA
-12.76
+1.09
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
25
Yards / Game
13
24
Passing Yards / Game
32
23
Rushing Yards / Game
4
19
EPA
EPA / Play
9
28
EPA / Pass
12
26
EPA / Rush
6
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
10
Interceptions / Game
4
28
Fumbles / Game
10
19
Turnover EPA / Game
29
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
30
4th Down Efficiency
19
11
RZ Efficiency
16
18
Texans Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
27
Yards / Game
28
30
Passing Yards / Game
23
9
Rushing Yards / Game
21
26
EPA
EPA / Play
23
32
EPA / Pass
22
32
EPA / Rush
12
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
30
Interceptions / Game
7
32
Fumbles / Game
17
32
Turnover EPA / Game
14
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
28
4th Down Efficiency
5
29
RZ Efficiency
8
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Texans
1-9
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U