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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. commanders @ titans week 5, 2002

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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WAS logo
WASCommanders
1-2
31
TBD
Nissan Stadium
74°F
6 mph
14
TENTitans
1-3
TEN logo
TBD
Nissan Stadium
74°F
6 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
3
7
14
7
31
Titans
0
14
0
0
14

Game Statistics

General
Commanders logo
Titans logo
Total Yards
442
289
Total Plays
69
58
Yards / Play
6.4
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.26
-0.06
Passing Yards
286
230
Comp/Att
22/38(58%)
24/39(62%)
Yards / Pass
7.5
5.9
EPA / Pass
+0.55
-0.12
Rushing Yards
156
59
Rush Attempts
30
15
Yards / Rush
5.2
3.9
EPA / Rush
+0.06
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
Commanders logo
Titans logo
1st Downs
25
17
Passing 1st downs
16
13
Rushing 1st downs
8
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
57%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
8
2
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
75%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Commanders logo
Titans logo
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-10.62
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-7
-15
Sack EPA
-1.25
-5.31
Penalties
7
7
Penalty Yards
--
46
Penalty EPA
--
-6.69

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
WAS logo
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Commanders Offense vs Titans Defense
Commanders logo
Titans logo

Total

Points / Game
25
16
Yards / Game
21
11
Passing Yards / Game
18
26
Rushing Yards / Game
12
2

EPA

EPA / Play
26
18
EPA / Pass
23
22
EPA / Rush
17
3

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
23
31
Interceptions / Game
23
18
Fumbles / Game
25
25
Turnover EPA / Game
3
17

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
17
12
4th Down Efficiency
17
15
RZ Efficiency
6
24
Titans Offense vs Commanders Defense
Titans logo
Commanders logo

Total

Points / Game
14
19
Yards / Game
16
4
Passing Yards / Game
16
16
Rushing Yards / Game
11
12

EPA

EPA / Play
14
6
EPA / Pass
5
6
EPA / Rush
15
5

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
19
12
Interceptions / Game
16
22
Fumbles / Game
18
9
Turnover EPA / Game
22
4

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
2
6
4th Down Efficiency
15
3
RZ Efficiency
5
2

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

WAS logo

Commanders

5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/25
10
W
W
P
12/02
-6
L
L
P
12/09
10
W
W
P
12/16
-14
L
L
P
12/23
-5
L
L
P
12/30
30
W
W
P
01/06
3
W
L
P
09/08
8
W
W
P
09/16
-30
L
L
P
09/22
-10
L
P
P
TEN logo

Titans

4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/02
16
W
W
P
12/09
-18
L
L
P
12/16
6
W
W
P
12/22
3
W
W
P
12/30
-3
L
L
P
01/06
-2
L
L
P
09/08
3
W
W
P
09/15
-8
L
L
P
09/22
-3
L
L
P
09/29
-27
L
L
P