DALCowboys
1-1
28
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
017
ARICardinals
1-1
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
7
7
14
28
Cardinals
7
0
7
3
17
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
46.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
273
332
Total Plays
45
75
Yards / Play
6.1
4.4
EPA / Play
+0.16
-0.09
Passing Yards
174
283
Comp/Att
13/18(72%)
29/48(60%)
Yards / Pass
9.7
5.9
EPA / Pass
+0.21
+0.03
Rushing Yards
99
49
Rush Attempts
26
21
Yards / Rush
3.8
2.3
EPA / Rush
+0.02
-0.29
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
22
Passing 1st downs
7
15
Rushing 1st downs
6
2
Penalty 1st downs
2
5
3rd Down %
22%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
2
8
3rd Down Attempts
9
18
Red Zone %
100%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
1
6
Sack Yards
-9
-42
Sack EPA
-2.02
-5.76
Penalties
9
6
Penalty Yards
76
50
Penalty EPA
-6.73
-5.23
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.0
Model
N/A
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model49.6%
Spread Pick
Cardinals+3.0
Expected Value
+8.9%
Cover Probability
53.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+67
Home nfelo
1,541
Away nfelo
1,543
Home Field
+87.7
Base HFA
+57.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.0
Time Adj
+10.3
Net QB Adjustment
-19.0
Home QB Adjustment
-10.4
Away QB Adjustment
+8.5
Market Regression
+14.2
Final Difference
2.8
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+8.5
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-10.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
18
Yards / Game
14
4
Passing Yards / Game
27
24
Rushing Yards / Game
2
6
EPA
EPA / Play
10
6
EPA / Pass
19
9
EPA / Rush
1
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
3
Interceptions / Game
17
12
Fumbles / Game
13
23
Turnover EPA / Game
19
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
6
4th Down Efficiency
11
13
RZ Efficiency
7
23
Cardinals Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
9
Yards / Game
23
6
Passing Yards / Game
8
1
Rushing Yards / Game
30
8
EPA
EPA / Play
30
16
EPA / Pass
29
20
EPA / Rush
31
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
22
Interceptions / Game
28
25
Fumbles / Game
10
14
Turnover EPA / Game
5
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
29
4th Down Efficiency
20
6
RZ Efficiency
30
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
6-4
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U
Cardinals
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
8-2
O/U