DALCowboys
9-4
38
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
41°F
9 mph
27
PHIEagles
9-4
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
41°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
14
7
7
10
38
Eagles
0
10
14
3
27
Spread
+3.5
Total
OVER
54.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
364
294
Total Plays
76
53
Yards / Play
4.8
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.14
-0.08
Passing Yards
249
219
Comp/Att
22/31(71%)
17/28(61%)
Yards / Pass
8.0
7.8
EPA / Pass
+0.51
-0.06
Rushing Yards
115
75
Rush Attempts
42
21
Yards / Rush
2.7
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.16
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
19
Passing 1st downs
17
11
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
38%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
100%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-3.45
-9.42
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-16
-33
Sack EPA
-7.40
-6.21
Penalties
11
8
Penalty Yards
79
95
Penalty EPA
-11.55
-9.04
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model62.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+33
Home nfelo
1,651
Away nfelo
1,557
Home Field
+44.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-105.1
Home QB Adjustment
-92.0
Away QB Adjustment
+13.1
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
88.7
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
A. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+13.1
M. Sanchez
Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
-92.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
22
Yards / Game
9
28
Passing Yards / Game
15
7
Rushing Yards / Game
2
15
EPA
EPA / Play
2
7
EPA / Pass
1
17
EPA / Rush
8
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
19
Interceptions / Game
3
22
Fumbles / Game
27
1
Turnover EPA / Game
22
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
12
4th Down Efficiency
8
4
RZ Efficiency
3
20
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
15
Yards / Game
4
21
Passing Yards / Game
19
18
Rushing Yards / Game
8
8
EPA
EPA / Play
14
21
EPA / Pass
15
19
EPA / Rush
21
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
18
Interceptions / Game
32
12
Fumbles / Game
31
2
Turnover EPA / Game
1
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
29
4th Down Efficiency
2
18
RZ Efficiency
24
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
6-3-1
O/U
Eagles
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U