DALCowboys
13-2
13
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
50°F
10 mph
27
PHIEagles
6-9
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
50°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
10
3
0
13
Eagles
3
7
7
10
27
Spread
-6.5
Total
UNDER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
195
346
Total Plays
53
75
Yards / Play
3.7
4.6
EPA / Play
-0.23
+0.00
Passing Yards
126
232
Comp/Att
16/29(55%)
27/43(63%)
Yards / Pass
4.3
5.4
EPA / Pass
-0.36
+0.04
Rushing Yards
69
114
Rush Attempts
21
30
Yards / Rush
3.3
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.21
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
24
Passing 1st downs
9
14
Rushing 1st downs
4
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
42%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-10.22
--
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-25
-13
Sack EPA
-5.33
-2.77
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
35
61
Penalty EPA
-4.78
-3.84
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-6.5
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market71.0%
Model61.0%
Spread Pick
Cowboys+6.5
Expected Value
+20.4%
Cover Probability
63.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-49
Home nfelo
1,516
Away nfelo
1,585
Home Field
+61.7
Base HFA
+57.3
Divisional Adj
-25.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.0
Time Adj
+10.3
Net QB Adjustment
-41.7
Home QB Adjustment
-8.8
Away QB Adjustment
+32.9
Market Regression
+61.2
Final Difference
77.5
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+32.9
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-8.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
11
Yards / Game
5
12
Passing Yards / Game
20
3
Rushing Yards / Game
2
15
EPA
EPA / Play
4
10
EPA / Pass
4
5
EPA / Rush
2
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
19
Interceptions / Game
4
8
Fumbles / Game
21
17
Turnover EPA / Game
24
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
9
19
4th Down Efficiency
1
11
RZ Efficiency
6
3
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
8
Yards / Game
20
16
Passing Yards / Game
22
26
Rushing Yards / Game
9
1
EPA
EPA / Play
16
15
EPA / Pass
20
20
EPA / Rush
13
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
24
Interceptions / Game
16
26
Fumbles / Game
7
14
Turnover EPA / Game
23
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
17
4th Down Efficiency
18
23
RZ Efficiency
25
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
9-1
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U
Eagles
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U