DALCowboys
2-2
27
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
68°F
15 mph
30
CARPanthers
2-3
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
68°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
3
14
7
3
27
Panthers
3
10
7
10
30
Spread
+3
Total
OVER
46.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
292
410
Total Plays
53
64
Yards / Play
5.5
6.4
EPA / Play
+0.24
+0.20
Passing Yards
--
194
Comp/Att
25/34(74%)
17/25(68%)
Yards / Pass
--
7.8
EPA / Pass
+0.52
+0.09
Rushing Yards
31
216
Rush Attempts
19
38
Yards / Rush
1.6
5.7
EPA / Rush
-0.44
+0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
27
Passing 1st downs
12
11
Rushing 1st downs
1
14
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
42%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
12
8
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-7.36
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-5
Sack EPA
--
-1.30
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
37
57
Penalty EPA
-5.59
-14.01
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model59.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-74
Home nfelo
1,370
Away nfelo
1,477
Home Field
+61.6
Base HFA
+40.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.1
Time Adj
+7.2
Net QB Adjustment
-28.2
Home QB Adjustment
-2.4
Away QB Adjustment
+25.8
Market Regression
+23.4
Final Difference
-68.3
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+1.9
Team Elo Adj
+25.8
B. Young
Proj. Value
-2.1
Team Elo Adj
-2.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
13
Yards / Game
3
16
Passing Yards / Game
9
2
Rushing Yards / Game
12
17
EPA
EPA / Play
3
23
EPA / Pass
8
26
EPA / Rush
8
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
14
Interceptions / Game
22
16
Fumbles / Game
15
23
Turnover EPA / Game
18
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
29
4th Down Efficiency
13
22
RZ Efficiency
13
9
Panthers Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
31
Yards / Game
22
31
Passing Yards / Game
14
23
Rushing Yards / Game
9
28
EPA
EPA / Play
25
31
EPA / Pass
25
30
EPA / Rush
15
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
26
Interceptions / Game
20
26
Fumbles / Game
26
24
Turnover EPA / Game
6
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
32
4th Down Efficiency
7
5
RZ Efficiency
20
30
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
4-5-1
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Panthers
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U