DALCowboys
1-1
13
TBD
Lumen Field
61°F
4 mph
24
SEASeahawks
0-2
TBD
Lumen Field
61°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
3
3
7
13
Seahawks
0
17
0
7
24
Spread
-1.5
Total
UNDER
40
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
303
295
Total Plays
58
67
Yards / Play
5.2
4.4
EPA / Play
-0.12
+0.04
Passing Yards
137
182
Comp/Att
19/34(56%)
16/26(62%)
Yards / Pass
4.0
7.0
EPA / Pass
-0.39
+0.31
Rushing Yards
166
113
Rush Attempts
19
39
Yards / Rush
8.7
2.9
EPA / Rush
-0.02
-0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
18
Passing 1st downs
8
10
Rushing 1st downs
7
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
23%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
13
16
Red Zone %
33%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-12.07
--
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-31
-10
Sack EPA
-6.26
-3.43
Penalties
7
10
Penalty Yards
55
67
Penalty EPA
-9.09
-7.34
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
+1.0
Current
-1.5
Model
-0.5
Win Probability
Market53.2%
Model51.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-13
Home nfelo
1,471
Away nfelo
1,549
Home Field
+66.8
Base HFA
+56.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+10.1
Net QB Adjustment
-1.3
Home QB Adjustment
-7.9
Away QB Adjustment
-6.6
Market Regression
+24.7
Final Difference
8.7
Model Spread
-0.5
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
-6.6
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
-7.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
13
Yards / Game
22
19
Passing Yards / Game
15
24
Rushing Yards / Game
10
18
EPA
EPA / Play
19
19
EPA / Pass
17
11
EPA / Rush
7
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
8
Interceptions / Game
4
19
Fumbles / Game
13
3
Turnover EPA / Game
25
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
5
4th Down Efficiency
10
5
RZ Efficiency
26
8
Seahawks Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
7
Yards / Game
18
8
Passing Yards / Game
19
16
Rushing Yards / Game
1
8
EPA
EPA / Play
6
12
EPA / Pass
8
19
EPA / Rush
5
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
7
Interceptions / Game
2
27
Fumbles / Game
2
12
Turnover EPA / Game
31
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
24
4th Down Efficiency
3
16
RZ Efficiency
6
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
1-9
O/U
Seahawks
4-6
SU
3-5-2
ATS
5-5
O/U