DALCowboys
1-1
31
TBD
Lumen Field
63°F
3 mph
38
SEASeahawks
2-0
TBD
Lumen Field
63°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
9
6
7
9
31
Seahawks
7
14
7
8
36
Spread
-5.5
Total
OVER
58
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
522
414
Total Plays
81
71
Yards / Play
6.4
5.8
EPA / Play
+0.10
+0.15
Passing Yards
461
297
Comp/Att
37/58(64%)
27/41(66%)
Yards / Pass
7.9
7.2
EPA / Pass
+0.13
+0.16
Rushing Yards
61
117
Rush Attempts
21
26
Yards / Rush
2.9
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.14
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
23
Passing 1st downs
20
15
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
47%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-12.08
-2.10
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-11
-20
Sack EPA
-7.69
-6.50
Penalties
10
5
Penalty Yards
59
30
Penalty EPA
-9.30
-2.77
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-5.5
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market68.0%
Model64.4%
Spread Pick
Cowboys+5.5
Expected Value
+0.8%
Cover Probability
52.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+58
Home nfelo
1,594
Away nfelo
1,549
Home Field
+7.4
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+1.1
Net QB Adjustment
+5.3
Home QB Adjustment
+26.3
Away QB Adjustment
+21.1
Market Regression
-2.2
Final Difference
103.1
Model Spread
-4.0
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+21.1
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+26.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
16
Yards / Game
13
22
Passing Yards / Game
4
31
Rushing Yards / Game
17
5
EPA
EPA / Play
24
14
EPA / Pass
25
22
EPA / Rush
18
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
4
Interceptions / Game
17
14
Fumbles / Game
31
17
Turnover EPA / Game
4
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
26
4th Down Efficiency
22
4
RZ Efficiency
29
18
Seahawks Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
28
Yards / Game
18
23
Passing Yards / Game
7
16
Rushing Yards / Game
12
31
EPA
EPA / Play
6
21
EPA / Pass
12
18
EPA / Rush
7
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
7
Interceptions / Game
22
23
Fumbles / Game
2
2
Turnover EPA / Game
14
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
27
4th Down Efficiency
18
11
RZ Efficiency
3
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U
Seahawks
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
5-4-1
O/U