DALCowboys
0-1
26
TBD
Nissan Stadium
75°F
2 mph
10
TENTitans
1-0
TBD
Nissan Stadium
75°F
2 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
3
13
7
3
26
Titans
0
0
10
0
10
Spread
+3.5
Total
UNDER
49.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
368
314
Total Plays
76
49
Yards / Play
4.8
6.4
EPA / Play
+0.15
-0.19
Passing Yards
148
232
Comp/Att
19/29(66%)
18/34(53%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
6.8
EPA / Pass
+0.22
-0.29
Rushing Yards
220
82
Rush Attempts
43
13
Yards / Rush
5.1
6.3
EPA / Rush
-0.01
+0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
13
Passing 1st downs
10
9
Rushing 1st downs
13
4
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
56%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
9
2
3rd Down Attempts
16
10
Red Zone %
67%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.73
-8.39
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-28
-2
Sack EPA
-5.73
-1.69
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
--
30
Penalty EPA
--
-4.37
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
TENTitansFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model62.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+109
Home nfelo
1,490
Away nfelo
1,471
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+5.8
Home QB Adjustment
-2.3
Away QB Adjustment
-8.2
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
88.7
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
T. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
-8.2
J. Locker
Proj. Value
-1.9
Team Elo Adj
-2.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
29
Yards / Game
9
27
Passing Yards / Game
15
2
Rushing Yards / Game
2
31
EPA
EPA / Play
2
30
EPA / Pass
1
26
EPA / Rush
8
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
6
Interceptions / Game
3
22
Fumbles / Game
27
30
Turnover EPA / Game
22
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
19
4th Down Efficiency
8
14
RZ Efficiency
3
24
Titans Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
15
Yards / Game
29
21
Passing Yards / Game
16
18
Rushing Yards / Game
26
8
EPA
EPA / Play
30
21
EPA / Pass
30
19
EPA / Rush
17
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
18
Interceptions / Game
19
12
Fumbles / Game
13
2
Turnover EPA / Game
13
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
29
4th Down Efficiency
28
18
RZ Efficiency
26
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U
Titans
5-5
SU
3-5-2
ATS
5-4-1
O/U