DALCowboys
11-4
27
TBD
Nissan Stadium
56°F
4 mph
13
TENTitans
7-8
TBD
Nissan Stadium
56°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
7
3
7
10
27
Titans
0
6
7
0
13
Spread
-13.5
Total
UNDER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
361
317
Total Plays
74
65
Yards / Play
4.9
4.9
EPA / Play
+0.11
-0.16
Passing Yards
274
220
Comp/Att
29/41(71%)
20/39(51%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
5.6
EPA / Pass
+0.26
-0.22
Rushing Yards
87
97
Rush Attempts
32
24
Yards / Rush
2.7
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.32
-0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
17
Passing 1st downs
16
11
Rushing 1st downs
5
6
Penalty 1st downs
5
--
3rd Down %
62%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
8
7
3rd Down Attempts
13
16
Red Zone %
75%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-11.21
-8.28
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-8
-12
Sack EPA
-1.90
-5.66
Penalties
3
10
Penalty Yards
35
124
Penalty EPA
-2.74
-13.23
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-13.5
Model
-10.0
Win Probability
Market86.2%
Model80.0%
Spread Pick
Titans+13.5
Expected Value
+20.6%
Cover Probability
63.2%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-158
Home nfelo
1,469
Away nfelo
1,608
Home Field
+56.3
Base HFA
+41.7
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.6
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-75.0
Home QB Adjustment
-57.9
Away QB Adjustment
+17.1
Market Regression
-125.1
Final Difference
-240.7
Model Spread
+10.0
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+17.1
R. Dobbs
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-57.9
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
12
Yards / Game
10
23
Passing Yards / Game
23
32
Rushing Yards / Game
9
1
EPA
EPA / Play
9
16
EPA / Pass
9
28
EPA / Rush
12
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
6
Interceptions / Game
30
13
Fumbles / Game
3
14
Turnover EPA / Game
20
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
3
4th Down Efficiency
5
32
RZ Efficiency
1
14
Titans Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
6
Yards / Game
30
13
Passing Yards / Game
24
15
Rushing Yards / Game
13
22
EPA
EPA / Play
25
3
EPA / Pass
23
4
EPA / Rush
26
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
29
Interceptions / Game
9
10
Fumbles / Game
11
1
Turnover EPA / Game
13
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
18
4th Down Efficiency
14
17
RZ Efficiency
6
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
8-2
O/U
Titans
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
3-7
O/U