DALCowboys
5-1
20
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
016
MINVikings
3-3
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
3
10
7
20
Vikings
7
3
3
3
16
Spread
+4.5
Total
UNDER
49.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
419
278
Total Plays
68
61
Yards / Play
6.2
4.6
EPA / Play
-0.05
-0.16
Passing Yards
341
177
Comp/Att
25/41(61%)
23/36(64%)
Yards / Pass
8.3
4.9
EPA / Pass
+0.12
-0.30
Rushing Yards
78
101
Rush Attempts
24
24
Yards / Rush
3.3
4.2
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
17
Passing 1st downs
17
6
Rushing 1st downs
4
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
7
3rd Down %
50%
8%
3rd Down Conversions
7
1
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-10.26
--
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-19
-7
Sack EPA
-9.01
-2.44
Penalties
11
7
Penalty Yards
96
57
Penalty EPA
-12.34
-5.61
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
+1.0
Current
-4.5
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market66.1%
Model73.4%
Spread Pick
Vikings-4.5
Expected Value
+16.7%
Cover Probability
61.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+225
Home nfelo
1,532
Away nfelo
1,581
Home Field
+20.8
Base HFA
+40.7
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+11.7
Away Bye Adj
-31.7
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+253.0
Home QB Adjustment
+17.9
Away QB Adjustment
-235.1
Market Regression
+121.0
Final Difference
176.3
Model Spread
-7.0
Quarterbacks
C. Rush
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-235.1
No recent game data available
K. Cousins
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+17.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
24
Yards / Game
2
30
Passing Yards / Game
7
24
Rushing Yards / Game
9
26
EPA
EPA / Play
6
15
EPA / Pass
4
6
EPA / Rush
20
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
29
Interceptions / Game
7
12
Fumbles / Game
12
18
Turnover EPA / Game
20
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
4
4th Down Efficiency
12
11
RZ Efficiency
5
15
Vikings Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
8
Yards / Game
10
18
Passing Yards / Game
15
9
Rushing Yards / Game
17
20
EPA
EPA / Play
18
2
EPA / Pass
12
1
EPA / Rush
26
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
20
Interceptions / Game
2
1
Fumbles / Game
7
9
Turnover EPA / Game
30
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
2
4th Down Efficiency
15
25
RZ Efficiency
10
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
8-2
SU
9-1
ATS
7-3
O/U
Vikings
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U