MIADolphins
5-7
23
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
69°F
8 mph
21
LACChargers
8-4
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
69°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
0
3
17
3
23
Chargers
7
0
0
14
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
300
341
Total Plays
48
82
Yards / Play
6.3
4.2
EPA / Play
+0.08
-0.03
Passing Yards
--
245
Comp/Att
14/22(64%)
35/52(67%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.7
EPA / Pass
+0.55
-0.01
Rushing Yards
71
96
Rush Attempts
26
27
Yards / Rush
2.7
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.57
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
27
Passing 1st downs
9
17
Rushing 1st downs
3
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
20%
58%
3rd Down Conversions
2
11
3rd Down Attempts
10
19
Red Zone %
25%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
2
Turnover EPA
-11.99
-14.09
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-34
Sack EPA
--
-8.29
Penalties
3
7
Penalty Yards
12
49
Penalty EPA
-1.00
-5.53
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
13
Yards / Game
13
13
Passing Yards / Game
27
31
Rushing Yards / Game
11
1
EPA
EPA / Play
12
20
EPA / Pass
18
24
EPA / Rush
13
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
21
Interceptions / Game
17
27
Fumbles / Game
30
16
Turnover EPA / Game
24
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
14
4th Down Efficiency
22
18
RZ Efficiency
26
19
Chargers Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
14
Yards / Game
10
17
Passing Yards / Game
16
26
Rushing Yards / Game
8
16
EPA
EPA / Play
4
19
EPA / Pass
7
20
EPA / Rush
1
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
29
Interceptions / Game
17
23
Fumbles / Game
8
8
Turnover EPA / Game
20
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
24
4th Down Efficiency
5
15
RZ Efficiency
1
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
8-2
SU
8-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U