MIADolphins
3-0
30
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
76°F
10 mph
48
KCChiefs
1-2
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
76°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
7
9
7
7
30
Chiefs
10
14
7
17
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
399
450
Total Plays
66
67
Yards / Play
6.0
6.7
EPA / Play
+0.08
+0.28
Passing Yards
294
--
Comp/Att
29/45(64%)
24/34(71%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
--
EPA / Pass
-0.07
+0.60
Rushing Yards
105
122
Rush Attempts
19
33
Yards / Rush
5.5
3.7
EPA / Rush
+0.09
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
25
Passing 1st downs
15
18
Rushing 1st downs
9
4
Penalty 1st downs
4
3
3rd Down %
13%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
1
5
3rd Down Attempts
8
13
Red Zone %
60%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
3
4
Red Zone Attempts
5
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
0
Interceptions
4
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-19.41
--
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-16
--
Sack EPA
-3.23
--
Penalties
9
10
Penalty Yards
86
71
Penalty EPA
-6.39
-8.11
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
28
Yards / Game
15
32
Passing Yards / Game
25
31
Rushing Yards / Game
2
25
EPA
EPA / Play
7
31
EPA / Pass
16
27
EPA / Rush
9
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
25
Interceptions / Game
12
12
Fumbles / Game
27
12
Turnover EPA / Game
17
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
24
4th Down Efficiency
31
23
RZ Efficiency
2
15
Chiefs Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
4
Yards / Game
4
3
Passing Yards / Game
15
5
Rushing Yards / Game
3
5
EPA
EPA / Play
1
9
EPA / Pass
1
4
EPA / Rush
1
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
26
Interceptions / Game
7
5
Fumbles / Game
1
30
Turnover EPA / Game
32
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
4
4th Down Efficiency
8
1
RZ Efficiency
1
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
7-3
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U