MIADolphins
9-6
10
TBD
FedExField
67°F
15 mph
21
WASCommanders
9-6
TBD
FedExField
67°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
0
3
0
7
10
Commanders
0
7
7
7
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
389
270
Total Plays
81
51
Yards / Play
4.8
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.04
+0.12
Passing Yards
270
165
Comp/Att
29/52(56%)
13/20(65%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
8.3
EPA / Pass
-0.16
+0.35
Rushing Yards
119
105
Rush Attempts
26
30
Yards / Rush
4.6
3.5
EPA / Rush
+0.03
-0.31
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
18
Passing 1st downs
16
10
Rushing 1st downs
8
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
42%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
8
2
3rd Down Attempts
19
10
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-12.87
--
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-10
-9
Sack EPA
-6.50
-3.28
Penalties
6
3
Penalty Yards
88
25
Penalty EPA
-7.53
-1.01
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
23
Yards / Game
23
25
Passing Yards / Game
26
24
Rushing Yards / Game
24
23
EPA
EPA / Play
25
26
EPA / Pass
26
16
EPA / Rush
25
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
25
Interceptions / Game
25
6
Fumbles / Game
25
18
Turnover EPA / Game
2
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
18
4th Down Efficiency
10
23
RZ Efficiency
22
29
Commanders Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
24
Yards / Game
3
5
Passing Yards / Game
12
14
Rushing Yards / Game
5
13
EPA
EPA / Play
2
10
EPA / Pass
8
9
EPA / Rush
1
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
17
Interceptions / Game
10
14
Fumbles / Game
9
22
Turnover EPA / Game
26
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
3
4th Down Efficiency
13
24
RZ Efficiency
6
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Commanders
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U