MIADolphins
10-7
7
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
57°F
14 mph
62
JAXJaguars
14-2
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
57°F
14 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
0
7
0
0
7
Jaguars
18
17
14
7
56
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
133
520
Total Plays
64
66
Yards / Play
2.1
7.9
EPA / Play
-0.69
+0.16
Passing Yards
110
246
Comp/Att
16/41(39%)
12/19(63%)
Yards / Pass
2.7
12.9
EPA / Pass
-0.76
+0.63
Rushing Yards
23
257
Rush Attempts
19
46
Yards / Rush
1.2
5.6
EPA / Rush
-0.99
+0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
21
Passing 1st downs
6
10
Rushing 1st downs
--
10
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
14%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
2
8
3rd Down Attempts
14
16
Red Zone %
NaN%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
--
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
7
2
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
5
1
Turnover EPA
-28.42
-8.85
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-31
-14
Sack EPA
-11.87
-2.75
Penalties
9
7
Penalty Yards
87
52
Penalty EPA
-3.07
-9.28
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
1
Yards / Game
23
3
Passing Yards / Game
26
6
Rushing Yards / Game
24
6
EPA
EPA / Play
25
4
EPA / Pass
26
4
EPA / Rush
25
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
21
Interceptions / Game
25
12
Fumbles / Game
25
5
Turnover EPA / Game
2
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
6
4th Down Efficiency
10
3
RZ Efficiency
22
22
Jaguars Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
24
Yards / Game
4
5
Passing Yards / Game
13
14
Rushing Yards / Game
1
13
EPA
EPA / Play
5
10
EPA / Pass
4
9
EPA / Rush
3
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
17
Interceptions / Game
2
14
Fumbles / Game
4
22
Turnover EPA / Game
30
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
3
4th Down Efficiency
17
24
RZ Efficiency
18
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
9-1
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U