MIADolphins
2-4
21
TBD
Tiger Stadium (LSU)
76°F
3 mph
6
NOSaints
2-5
TBD
Tiger Stadium (LSU)
76°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
3
6
0
10
19
Saints
3
0
3
0
6
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
342
203
Total Plays
77
54
Yards / Play
4.4
3.8
EPA / Play
+0.03
-0.31
Passing Yards
154
113
Comp/Att
16/28(57%)
14/31(45%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
3.6
EPA / Pass
+0.01
-0.54
Rushing Yards
188
90
Rush Attempts
47
17
Yards / Rush
4.0
5.3
EPA / Rush
-0.05
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
14
Passing 1st downs
7
9
Rushing 1st downs
10
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
39%
0%
3rd Down Conversions
7
--
3rd Down Attempts
18
11
Red Zone %
20%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-3.91
-3.93
Sacks
2
6
Sack Yards
-14
-68
Sack EPA
-5.02
-9.02
Penalties
5
8
Penalty Yards
34
77
Penalty EPA
-3.79
-11.45
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Saints Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
28
Yards / Game
13
15
Passing Yards / Game
27
3
Rushing Yards / Game
11
27
EPA
EPA / Play
12
28
EPA / Pass
18
27
EPA / Rush
13
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
13
Interceptions / Game
17
27
Fumbles / Game
30
23
Turnover EPA / Game
24
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
26
4th Down Efficiency
22
31
RZ Efficiency
26
12
Saints Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
14
Yards / Game
20
17
Passing Yards / Game
5
26
Rushing Yards / Game
18
16
EPA
EPA / Play
30
19
EPA / Pass
25
20
EPA / Rush
26
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
29
Interceptions / Game
30
23
Fumbles / Game
30
8
Turnover EPA / Game
2
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
24
4th Down Efficiency
32
15
RZ Efficiency
27
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Saints
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U