MIADolphins
-
10
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
030
HOUTexans
-
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Dolphins
3
0
1
0
4
Texans
0
24
3
3
30
Spread
-13
Total
UNDER
41.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
275
337
Total Plays
58
68
Yards / Play
4.7
5.0
EPA / Play
-0.42
-0.07
Passing Yards
199
254
Comp/Att
20/36(56%)
20/31(65%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
8.2
EPA / Pass
-0.49
+0.38
Rushing Yards
76
83
Rush Attempts
20
35
Yards / Rush
3.8
2.4
EPA / Rush
-0.25
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
19
Passing 1st downs
7
15
Rushing 1st downs
6
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
20%
41%
3rd Down Conversions
2
7
3rd Down Attempts
10
17
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-18.29
--
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-20
-12
Sack EPA
-4.03
-2.43
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
78
35
Penalty EPA
-14.05
-3.18
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
HOUTexansFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-13.0
Model
-11.5
Win Probability
Market84.9%
Model82.3%
Spread Pick
Dolphins+13.0
Expected Value
+0.3%
Cover Probability
51.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+141
Home nfelo
1,571
Away nfelo
1,492
Home Field
+51.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+10.4
Home QB Adjustment
+15.3
Away QB Adjustment
+5.0
Market Regression
+81.6
Final Difference
266.9
Model Spread
-11.5
Quarterbacks
R. Tannehill
Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
+5.0
No recent game data available
M. Schaub
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+15.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Dolphins Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
9
Yards / Game
27
7
Passing Yards / Game
19
26
Rushing Yards / Game
17
6
EPA
EPA / Play
22
6
EPA / Pass
25
4
EPA / Rush
19
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
28
Interceptions / Game
10
16
Fumbles / Game
19
8
Turnover EPA / Game
11
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
2
4th Down Efficiency
27
3
RZ Efficiency
11
10
Texans Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
7
Yards / Game
6
20
Passing Yards / Game
20
29
Rushing Yards / Game
8
12
EPA
EPA / Play
11
14
EPA / Pass
9
17
EPA / Rush
14
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
13
Interceptions / Game
11
27
Fumbles / Game
1
22
Turnover EPA / Game
28
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
9
4th Down Efficiency
10
28
RZ Efficiency
14
2
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Dolphins
6-4
SU
9-1
ATS
3-7
O/U
Texans
6-4
SU
7-2-1
ATS
4-6
O/U