PHIEagles
1-0
21
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
91°F
9 mph
27
TBBuccaneers
1-0
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
91°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
7
7
7
21
Buccaneers
7
13
7
0
27
Spread
+3
Total
OVER
46.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
412
436
Total Plays
75
58
Yards / Play
5.5
7.5
EPA / Play
-0.03
+0.07
Passing Yards
321
393
Comp/Att
35/48(73%)
27/33(82%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
11.9
EPA / Pass
-0.10
+0.41
Rushing Yards
91
43
Rush Attempts
24
23
Yards / Rush
3.8
1.9
EPA / Rush
+0.19
-0.33
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
18
Passing 1st downs
14
17
Rushing 1st downs
8
1
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
33%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
10
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-5.40
-9.38
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-13
-9
Sack EPA
-8.16
-2.54
Penalties
6
4
Penalty Yards
55
44
Penalty EPA
-4.34
-4.80
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model59.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-44
Home nfelo
1,474
Away nfelo
1,609
Home Field
+56.6
Base HFA
+56.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+34.3
Home QB Adjustment
+15.1
Away QB Adjustment
-19.2
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-68.3
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
N. Foles
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-19.2
R. Fitzpatrick
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+15.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
31
Yards / Game
17
27
Passing Yards / Game
11
32
Rushing Yards / Game
30
24
EPA
EPA / Play
11
31
EPA / Pass
11
31
EPA / Rush
22
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
14
Interceptions / Game
21
26
Fumbles / Game
24
26
Turnover EPA / Game
12
10
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
22
4th Down Efficiency
16
7
RZ Efficiency
17
32
Buccaneers Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
9
Yards / Game
2
23
Passing Yards / Game
1
29
Rushing Yards / Game
28
6
EPA
EPA / Play
12
22
EPA / Pass
9
22
EPA / Rush
26
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
22
Interceptions / Game
32
25
Fumbles / Game
25
25
Turnover EPA / Game
2
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
8
4th Down Efficiency
5
20
RZ Efficiency
15
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U
Buccaneers
4-6
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U