PHIEagles
4-8
26
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
033
ARICardinals
7-6
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
20
6
0
26
Cardinals
14
10
0
7
31
Spread
-6
Total
OVER
49.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
422
526
Total Plays
81
68
Yards / Play
5.2
7.7
EPA / Play
-0.06
+0.00
Passing Yards
305
423
Comp/Att
24/44(55%)
28/37(76%)
Yards / Pass
6.9
11.4
EPA / Pass
+0.13
+0.18
Rushing Yards
117
103
Rush Attempts
31
30
Yards / Rush
3.8
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
26
Passing 1st downs
18
19
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
33%
30%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
18
10
Red Zone %
75%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-16.66
Sacks
6
1
Sack Yards
-33
-9
Sack EPA
-7.73
-5.77
Penalties
9
9
Penalty Yards
69
83
Penalty EPA
-8.73
-9.03
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-6.0
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market69.3%
Model64.8%
Spread Pick
Eagles+6.0
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
52.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+66
Home nfelo
1,484
Away nfelo
1,467
Home Field
+8.5
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+2.3
Net QB Adjustment
+40.7
Home QB Adjustment
+26.6
Away QB Adjustment
-14.1
Market Regression
-0.6
Final Difference
105.6
Model Spread
-4.0
Quarterbacks
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+1.9
Team Elo Adj
-14.1
Value
Ptile
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+1.5
Team Elo Adj
+26.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
12
Yards / Game
25
13
Passing Yards / Game
23
11
Rushing Yards / Game
10
21
EPA
EPA / Play
29
9
EPA / Pass
31
10
EPA / Rush
14
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
22
Interceptions / Game
31
20
Fumbles / Game
23
18
Turnover EPA / Game
5
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
10
4th Down Efficiency
26
26
RZ Efficiency
13
4
Cardinals Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
20
Yards / Game
6
17
Passing Yards / Game
10
29
Rushing Yards / Game
6
22
EPA
EPA / Play
15
12
EPA / Pass
22
15
EPA / Rush
3
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
1
Interceptions / Game
17
29
Fumbles / Game
23
6
Turnover EPA / Game
8
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
8
4th Down Efficiency
5
3
RZ Efficiency
9
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
3-7
O/U
Cardinals
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U