PHIEagles
2-1
26
TBD
StubHub Center
72°F
6 mph
24
LACChargers
0-3
TBD
StubHub Center
72°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
10
6
3
7
26
Chargers
0
10
0
14
24
Spread
+2
Total
OVER
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
454
400
Total Plays
74
53
Yards / Play
6.1
7.5
EPA / Play
+0.27
+0.24
Passing Yards
240
342
Comp/Att
17/31(55%)
22/38(58%)
Yards / Pass
7.7
9.0
EPA / Pass
+0.38
+0.29
Rushing Yards
214
58
Rush Attempts
42
13
Yards / Rush
5.1
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.03
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
18
Passing 1st downs
11
12
Rushing 1st downs
12
3
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
56%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
9
5
3rd Down Attempts
16
10
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-4.45
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-2
-5
Sack EPA
-0.76
-5.63
Penalties
9
9
Penalty Yards
58
39
Penalty EPA
-7.03
-6.58
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-2.0
Model
+0.5
Win Probability
Market54.2%
Model49.0%
Spread Pick
Eagles+2.0
Expected Value
+0.1%
Cover Probability
50.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-37
Home nfelo
1,456
Away nfelo
1,554
Home Field
+67.5
Base HFA
+57.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+10.3
Net QB Adjustment
-6.3
Home QB Adjustment
-4.1
Away QB Adjustment
+2.1
Market Regression
+2.5
Final Difference
-7.1
Model Spread
+0.5
Quarterbacks
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
+2.1
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
-4.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
1
Yards / Game
4
14
Passing Yards / Game
7
18
Rushing Yards / Game
3
31
EPA
EPA / Play
4
10
EPA / Pass
2
3
EPA / Rush
11
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
32
Interceptions / Game
4
5
Fumbles / Game
22
14
Turnover EPA / Game
29
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
19
4th Down Efficiency
3
5
RZ Efficiency
2
1
Chargers Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
4
Yards / Game
5
9
Passing Yards / Game
16
26
Rushing Yards / Game
24
1
EPA
EPA / Play
8
5
EPA / Pass
4
7
EPA / Rush
21
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
22
Interceptions / Game
10
6
Fumbles / Game
1
2
Turnover EPA / Game
30
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
3
4th Down Efficiency
18
2
RZ Efficiency
27
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U
Chargers
1-9
SU
1-8-1
ATS
3-6-1
O/U