PHIEagles
2-0
24
TBD
FedExField
70°F
08
WASCommanders
1-1
TBD
FedExField
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
24
0
0
24
Commanders
0
0
0
6
6
Spread
-6.5
Total
UNDER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
400
240
Total Plays
68
75
Yards / Play
5.9
3.2
EPA / Play
+0.08
-0.20
Passing Yards
328
153
Comp/Att
22/35(63%)
25/44(57%)
Yards / Pass
9.4
3.5
EPA / Pass
+0.44
-0.49
Rushing Yards
72
87
Rush Attempts
30
22
Yards / Rush
2.4
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.51
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
20
Passing 1st downs
16
11
Rushing 1st downs
3
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
33%
35%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
17
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-5.42
Sacks
3
9
Sack Yards
-12
-58
Sack EPA
-4.34
-20.30
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
--
48
Penalty EPA
--
-4.23
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-6.5
Model
-4.5
Win Probability
Market71.4%
Model67.0%
Spread Pick
Commanders+6.5
Expected Value
+2.9%
Cover Probability
53.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-84
Home nfelo
1,456
Away nfelo
1,548
Home Field
+20.8
Base HFA
+37.9
Divisional Adj
-17.1
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-12.4
Home QB Adjustment
+4.6
Away QB Adjustment
+17.0
Market Regression
+3.7
Final Difference
-123.3
Model Spread
+4.5
Quarterbacks
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+17.0
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
+4.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
8
Yards / Game
3
3
Passing Yards / Game
6
10
Rushing Yards / Game
4
11
EPA
EPA / Play
2
8
EPA / Pass
6
8
EPA / Rush
1
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
8
Interceptions / Game
3
29
Fumbles / Game
17
29
Turnover EPA / Game
14
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
1
4th Down Efficiency
4
14
RZ Efficiency
3
9
Commanders Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
7
Yards / Game
20
1
Passing Yards / Game
16
3
Rushing Yards / Game
12
16
EPA
EPA / Play
22
5
EPA / Pass
25
1
EPA / Rush
21
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
15
Interceptions / Game
25
9
Fumbles / Game
20
6
Turnover EPA / Game
21
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
12
4th Down Efficiency
21
19
RZ Efficiency
23
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
7-3
SU
4-5-1
ATS
7-3
O/U
Commanders
5-5
SU
6-3-1
ATS
5-5
O/U