nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. eagles @ cowboys week 9, 2015

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

PHI logo
PHIEagles
3-4
33
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0
27
DALCowboys
2-5
DAL logo
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Eagles
0
7
7
7
6
27
Cowboys
7
0
7
13
0
27

Spread

PHI logo
-3

Total

OVER
43.5

Game Statistics

General
Eagles logo
Cowboys logo
Total Yards
459
411
Total Plays
72
71
Yards / Play
6.4
5.8
EPA / Play
+0.26
+0.13
Passing Yards
287
277
Comp/Att
25/36(69%)
25/38(66%)
Yards / Pass
8.0
7.3
EPA / Pass
+0.04
+0.03
Rushing Yards
172
134
Rush Attempts
35
29
Yards / Rush
4.9
4.6
EPA / Rush
+0.31
+0.10
Downs & Conversions
Eagles logo
Cowboys logo
1st Downs
25
25
Passing 1st downs
9
11
Rushing 1st downs
13
8
Penalty 1st downs
3
6
3rd Down %
23%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
3
8
3rd Down Attempts
13
16
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Eagles logo
Cowboys logo
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-10.48
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-8
-22
Sack EPA
-2.45
-6.48
Penalties
10
8
Penalty Yards
70
58
Penalty EPA
-5.90
-8.37

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
PHI logo
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0

Win Probability

Market59.7%
Model59.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-80
Home nfelo
1,536
Away nfelo
1,545
Home Field
+18.6
Base HFA
+62.3
Divisional Adj
-28.1
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-48.4
Surface Adj
+21.7
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-89.6
Home QB Adjustment
-103.9
Away QB Adjustment
-14.3
Market Regression
-22.1
Final Difference
-68.3
Model Spread
+3.0

Quarterbacks

S. Bradford headshot

S. Bradford

Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-14.3
Value
Ptile
10/06
1.0
57
10/13
4.1
78
10/20
0.4
53
09/14
2.5
68
09/20
-2.9
29
09/27
-4.1
20
10/04
-0.5
47
10/11
3.7
77
10/19
-4.4
18
10/25
-8.0
4
M. Cassel headshot

M. Cassel

Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
-103.9
Value
Ptile
12/08
2.3
67
12/15
8.1
92
12/22
-11.2
2
12/29
-4.2
23
09/07
1.9
64
09/14
-13.2
0
09/21
-5.0
20
09/13
-5.9
11
10/25
-5.1
15
11/01
-2.1
35

Team Matchup Ranks

Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Eagles logo
Cowboys logo

Total

Points / Game
13
16
Yards / Game
12
16
Passing Yards / Game
14
14
Rushing Yards / Game
15
22

EPA

EPA / Play
21
26
EPA / Pass
22
21
EPA / Rush
16
30

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
16
21
Interceptions / Game
26
30
Fumbles / Game
30
32
Turnover EPA / Game
2
1

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
16
17
4th Down Efficiency
15
17
RZ Efficiency
22
8
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Cowboys logo
Eagles logo

Total

Points / Game
31
28
Yards / Game
23
30
Passing Yards / Game
27
31
Rushing Yards / Game
8
32

EPA

EPA / Play
25
17
EPA / Pass
31
16
EPA / Rush
5
31

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
6
15
Interceptions / Game
32
10
Fumbles / Game
21
15
Turnover EPA / Game
1
27

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
26
26
4th Down Efficiency
15
27
RZ Efficiency
29
31

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

PHI logo

Eagles

4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
3-6-1
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/14
-11
L
L
O
12/20
-3
L
L
P
12/28
8
W
W
O
09/14
-2
L
L
U
09/20
-10
L
L
U
09/27
7
W
W
U
10/04
-3
L
L
U
10/11
22
W
W
O
10/19
20
W
W
U
10/25
-11
L
L
U
DAL logo

Cowboys

4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/28
27
W
W
O
01/04
4
W
L
U
01/11
-5
L
W
U
09/13
1
W
L
O
09/20
10
W
W
U
09/27
-11
L
L
O
10/04
-6
L
L
U
10/11
-24
L
L
U
10/25
-7
L
L
O
11/01
-1
L
W
U