PHIEagles
6-6
23
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
029
DALCowboys
7-5
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Eagles
0
0
6
17
0
23
Cowboys
3
3
3
14
6
29
Spread
-3.5
Total
OVER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
256
576
Total Plays
48
93
Yards / Play
5.3
6.2
EPA / Play
-0.06
+0.01
Passing Yards
222
434
Comp/Att
22/32(69%)
42/54(78%)
Yards / Pass
6.9
8.0
EPA / Pass
+0.16
+0.23
Rushing Yards
34
142
Rush Attempts
14
36
Yards / Rush
2.4
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.58
-0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
32
Passing 1st downs
12
23
Rushing 1st downs
1
6
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
11%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
1
9
3rd Down Attempts
9
18
Red Zone %
75%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-3.58
-15.17
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-6
-21
Sack EPA
-5.80
-6.29
Penalties
5
11
Penalty Yards
49
110
Penalty EPA
-5.09
-9.16
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model62.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+62
Home nfelo
1,542
Away nfelo
1,517
Home Field
+61.6
Base HFA
+57.3
Divisional Adj
-25.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.0
Time Adj
+10.3
Net QB Adjustment
-24.5
Home QB Adjustment
+3.2
Away QB Adjustment
+27.6
Market Regression
-16.5
Final Difference
88.7
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
+27.6
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+3.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
7
Yards / Game
17
8
Passing Yards / Game
11
16
Rushing Yards / Game
30
8
EPA
EPA / Play
11
12
EPA / Pass
11
19
EPA / Rush
22
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
7
Interceptions / Game
21
27
Fumbles / Game
24
12
Turnover EPA / Game
12
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
24
4th Down Efficiency
16
16
RZ Efficiency
17
7
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
9
Yards / Game
22
23
Passing Yards / Game
15
29
Rushing Yards / Game
10
6
EPA
EPA / Play
19
22
EPA / Pass
17
22
EPA / Rush
7
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
22
Interceptions / Game
4
25
Fumbles / Game
13
25
Turnover EPA / Game
25
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
8
4th Down Efficiency
10
20
RZ Efficiency
26
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
3-7
O/U
Cowboys
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U