nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. eagles @ cowboys week 16, 2020

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2026 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

PHI logo
PHIEagles
4-9
17
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0
37
DALCowboys
5-9
DAL logo
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
14
3
0
0
17
Cowboys
3
17
10
7
37

Spread

DAL logo
+3

Total

OVER
50

Game Statistics

General
Eagles logo
Cowboys logo
Total Yards
477
513
Total Plays
71
66
Yards / Play
6.7
7.8
EPA / Play
-0.09
+0.22
Passing Yards
326
362
Comp/Att
21/39(54%)
22/30(73%)
Yards / Pass
8.4
12.1
EPA / Pass
-0.06
+0.40
Rushing Yards
151
151
Rush Attempts
29
34
Yards / Rush
5.2
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.08
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
Eagles logo
Cowboys logo
1st Downs
24
22
Passing 1st downs
12
13
Rushing 1st downs
9
7
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
41%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
17
13
Red Zone %
33%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Eagles logo
Cowboys logo
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-11.44
-5.19
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-16
-15
Sack EPA
-4.02
-3.41
Penalties
12
5
Penalty Yards
115
73
Penalty EPA
-10.92
-5.55

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
PHI logo
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
+1.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0

Win Probability

Market59.7%
Model59.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-25
Home nfelo
1,481
Away nfelo
1,449
Home Field
+6.7
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
-2.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
+1.1
Net QB Adjustment
-64.4
Home QB Adjustment
-70.2
Away QB Adjustment
-5.9
Market Regression
-68.2
Final Difference
-68.3
Model Spread
+3.0

Quarterbacks

J. Hurts headshot

J. Hurts

Proj. Value
+1.1
Team Elo Adj
-5.9
Value
Ptile
12/13
6.2
85
12/20
4.0
73
A. Dalton headshot

A. Dalton

Proj. Value
-2.0
Team Elo Adj
-70.2
Value
Ptile
12/15
-7.2
11
12/22
3.9
78
12/29
-2.0
38
10/19
-5.3
14
10/25
-13.1
1
11/22
1.7
56
11/26
-3.0
24
12/08
2.6
64
12/13
-1.2
36
12/20
-0.3
43

Team Matchup Ranks

Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Eagles logo
Cowboys logo

Total

Points / Game
26
28
Yards / Game
25
23
Passing Yards / Game
23
16
Rushing Yards / Game
10
31

EPA

EPA / Play
29
21
EPA / Pass
31
18
EPA / Rush
14
26

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
30
7
Interceptions / Game
31
23
Fumbles / Game
23
2
Turnover EPA / Game
5
26

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
28
27
4th Down Efficiency
26
11
RZ Efficiency
13
20
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Cowboys logo
Eagles logo

Total

Points / Game
17
20
Yards / Game
13
17
Passing Yards / Game
4
29
Rushing Yards / Game
17
22

EPA

EPA / Play
24
12
EPA / Pass
25
15
EPA / Rush
18
14

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
12
1
Interceptions / Game
17
29
Fumbles / Game
31
6
Turnover EPA / Game
4
18

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
20
8
4th Down Efficiency
22
3
RZ Efficiency
29
28

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

PHI logo

Eagles

3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/11
-9
L
L
O
10/18
-2
L
W
O
10/22
1
W
L
U
11/01
14
W
W
U
11/15
-10
L
L
U
11/22
-5
L
L
U
11/30
-6
L
W
U
12/06
-14
L
L
U
12/13
3
W
W
O
12/20
-7
L
L
O
DAL logo

Cowboys

4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/11
3
W
L
O
10/19
-28
L
L
U
10/25
-22
L
L
U
11/01
-14
L
L
U
11/08
-5
L
W
U
11/22
3
W
W
O
11/26
-25
L
L
O
12/08
-17
L
L
O
12/13
23
W
W
U
12/20
8
W
W
O