PHIEagles
4-1
17
TBD
MetLife Stadium
53°F
3 mph
34
NYGGiants
1-4
TBD
MetLife Stadium
53°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
10
7
0
0
17
Giants
13
7
7
7
34
Spread
+7.5
Total
OVER
40.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
339
366
Total Plays
56
67
Yards / Play
6.1
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.04
+0.22
Passing Yards
266
194
Comp/Att
24/33(73%)
17/26(65%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
7.5
EPA / Pass
-0.09
+0.22
Rushing Yards
73
172
Rush Attempts
20
39
Yards / Rush
3.6
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.12
+0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
25
Passing 1st downs
14
8
Rushing 1st downs
5
14
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
11%
69%
3rd Down Conversions
1
11
3rd Down Attempts
9
16
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-13.30
--
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-17
-1
Sack EPA
-4.79
-1.62
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
--
55
Penalty EPA
--
-4.48
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-7.5
Model
-9.0
Win Probability
Market74.9%
Model78.1%
Spread Pick
Eagles-7.5
Expected Value
+5.5%
Cover Probability
55.3%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-255
Home nfelo
1,371
Away nfelo
1,619
Home Field
+36.2
Base HFA
+40.3
Divisional Adj
-18.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.1
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-42.0
Home QB Adjustment
-42.8
Away QB Adjustment
-0.8
Market Regression
-4.1
Final Difference
-220.7
Model Spread
+9.0
Quarterbacks
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+1.6
Team Elo Adj
-0.8
J. Dart
Proj. Value
-0.0
Team Elo Adj
-42.8
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
29
Yards / Game
25
29
Passing Yards / Game
23
15
Rushing Yards / Game
17
30
EPA
EPA / Play
18
29
EPA / Pass
12
23
EPA / Rush
22
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
7
Interceptions / Game
1
28
Fumbles / Game
6
28
Turnover EPA / Game
31
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
18
4th Down Efficiency
8
25
RZ Efficiency
1
32
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
8
Yards / Game
15
18
Passing Yards / Game
8
22
Rushing Yards / Game
10
19
EPA
EPA / Play
13
9
EPA / Pass
20
6
EPA / Rush
10
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
11
Interceptions / Game
14
18
Fumbles / Game
16
19
Turnover EPA / Game
17
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
20
4th Down Efficiency
19
3
RZ Efficiency
27
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
9-1
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U
Giants
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U