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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. eagles @ giants week 6, 2025

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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PHI logo
PHIEagles
4-1
17
TBD
MetLife Stadium
53°F
3 mph
34
NYGGiants
1-4
NYG logo
TBD
MetLife Stadium
53°F
3 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
10
7
0
0
17
Giants
13
7
7
7
34

Spread

NYG logo
+7.5

Total

OVER
40.5

Game Statistics

General
Eagles logo
Giants logo
Total Yards
339
366
Total Plays
56
67
Yards / Play
6.1
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.04
+0.22
Passing Yards
266
194
Comp/Att
24/33(73%)
17/26(65%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
7.5
EPA / Pass
-0.09
+0.22
Rushing Yards
73
172
Rush Attempts
20
39
Yards / Rush
3.6
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.12
+0.18
Downs & Conversions
Eagles logo
Giants logo
1st Downs
20
25
Passing 1st downs
14
8
Rushing 1st downs
5
14
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
11%
69%
3rd Down Conversions
1
11
3rd Down Attempts
9
16
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Eagles logo
Giants logo
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-13.30
--
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-17
-1
Sack EPA
-4.79
-1.62
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
--
55
Penalty EPA
--
-4.48

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
PHI logo
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-7.5
Model
-8.5

Win Probability

Market74.9%
Model77.2%
Spread Pick
PHI logo
Eagles-7.5
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+2.3%
Cover Probability
53.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-248
Home nfelo
1,374
Away nfelo
1,616
Home Field
+36.2
Base HFA
+40.3
Divisional Adj
-18.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.1
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-42.0
Home QB Adjustment
-42.8
Away QB Adjustment
-0.8
Market Regression
-2.5
Final Difference
-212.1
Model Spread
+8.5

Quarterbacks

J. Hurts headshot

J. Hurts

Proj. Value
+1.1
Team Elo Adj
-0.8
Value
Ptile
12/22
-4.4
21
01/12
-0.4
46
01/19
-2.4
32
01/26
7.5
92
02/09
6.3
85
09/04
6.5
90
09/14
-3.1
28
09/21
4.9
84
09/28
0.5
55
10/05
-1.6
38
J. Dart headshot

J. Dart

Proj. Value
-0.3
Team Elo Adj
-42.8
Value
Ptile
09/28
-1.6
38
10/05
1.2
60

Team Matchup Ranks

Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Eagles logo
Giants logo

Total

Points / Game
19
26
Yards / Game
24
29
Passing Yards / Game
21
20
Rushing Yards / Game
17
30

EPA

EPA / Play
19
27
EPA / Pass
13
18
EPA / Rush
19
32

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
24
10
Interceptions / Game
1
24
Fumbles / Game
15
24
Turnover EPA / Game
24
9

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
24
16
4th Down Efficiency
10
30
RZ Efficiency
1
28
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Giants logo
Eagles logo

Total

Points / Game
21
3
Yards / Game
15
13
Passing Yards / Game
6
16
Rushing Yards / Game
6
21

EPA

EPA / Play
20
7
EPA / Pass
23
2
EPA / Rush
6
16

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
16
21
Interceptions / Game
11
15
Fumbles / Game
6
12
Turnover EPA / Game
23
20

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
17
17
4th Down Efficiency
26
4
RZ Efficiency
28
8

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

PHI logo

Eagles

9-1
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/05
7
W
W
U
01/12
12
W
W
U
01/19
6
W
L
O
01/26
32
W
W
O
02/09
18
W
W
O
09/04
4
W
L
U
09/14
3
W
W
U
09/21
7
W
W
O
09/28
6
W
W
O
10/05
-4
L
L
U
NYG logo

Giants

2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/08
-3
L
W
U
12/15
-21
L
L
O
12/22
-27
L
L
U
12/29
12
W
W
O
01/05
-7
L
L
U
09/07
-15
L
L
U
09/14
-3
L
W
O
09/21
-13
L
L
U
09/28
3
W
W
U
10/05
-12
L
L
U