PHIEagles
3-2
28
TBD
MetLife Stadium
71°F
4 mph
3
NYGGiants
2-4
TBD
MetLife Stadium
71°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
14
7
7
28
Giants
0
3
0
0
3
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
41.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
339
119
Total Plays
65
55
Yards / Play
5.2
2.2
EPA / Play
+0.17
-0.36
Passing Yards
70
43
Comp/Att
10/15(67%)
17/29(59%)
Yards / Pass
4.7
1.5
EPA / Pass
-0.25
-0.78
Rushing Yards
269
76
Rush Attempts
45
18
Yards / Rush
6.0
4.2
EPA / Rush
+0.29
-0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
10
Passing 1st downs
6
6
Rushing 1st downs
13
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
8%
21%
3rd Down Conversions
1
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
5
8
Sack Yards
-44
-62
Sack EPA
-7.61
-15.06
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
35
35
Penalty EPA
-3.53
-3.39
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model59.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-71
Home nfelo
1,434
Away nfelo
1,549
Home Field
+40.5
Base HFA
+45.0
Divisional Adj
-20.3
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.7
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+4.3
Home QB Adjustment
+0.5
Away QB Adjustment
-3.8
Market Regression
+23.4
Final Difference
-68.3
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.3
Team Elo Adj
-3.8
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-0.3
Team Elo Adj
+0.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
20
Yards / Game
8
23
Passing Yards / Game
25
6
Rushing Yards / Game
2
26
EPA
EPA / Play
7
22
EPA / Pass
7
29
EPA / Rush
4
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
10
Interceptions / Game
3
31
Fumbles / Game
8
8
Turnover EPA / Game
31
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
19
4th Down Efficiency
3
16
RZ Efficiency
10
10
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
1
Yards / Game
30
1
Passing Yards / Game
23
14
Rushing Yards / Game
22
4
EPA
EPA / Play
29
1
EPA / Pass
31
1
EPA / Rush
24
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
12
Interceptions / Game
19
6
Fumbles / Game
22
1
Turnover EPA / Game
6
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
8
4th Down Efficiency
19
21
RZ Efficiency
32
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
4-6
SU
2-8
ATS
4-6
O/U
Giants
3-7
SU
6-4
ATS
3-7
O/U