PHIEagles
11-1
48
TBD
MetLife Stadium
37°F
6 mph
22
NYGGiants
7-4
TBD
MetLife Stadium
37°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
7
17
10
14
48
Giants
0
7
7
8
22
Spread
-7.5
Total
OVER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
437
306
Total Plays
66
64
Yards / Play
6.6
4.8
EPA / Play
+0.43
-0.08
Passing Yards
184
183
Comp/Att
21/31(68%)
23/33(70%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
5.5
EPA / Pass
+0.18
-0.23
Rushing Yards
253
123
Rush Attempts
31
24
Yards / Rush
8.2
5.1
EPA / Rush
+0.62
+0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
18
Passing 1st downs
10
11
Rushing 1st downs
15
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
55%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
75%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-4.58
Sacks
4
7
Sack Yards
-33
-35
Sack EPA
-6.48
-12.01
Penalties
2
5
Penalty Yards
--
34
Penalty EPA
--
-6.87
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-7.5
Model
-7.5
Win Probability
Market74.9%
Model74.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-208
Home nfelo
1,388
Away nfelo
1,616
Home Field
+36.2
Base HFA
+40.3
Divisional Adj
-18.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.1
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-16.7
Home QB Adjustment
+19.4
Away QB Adjustment
+36.2
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-189.9
Model Spread
+7.5
Quarterbacks
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+36.2
D. Jones
Proj. Value
-1.7
Team Elo Adj
+19.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
22
Yards / Game
3
25
Passing Yards / Game
6
2
Rushing Yards / Game
4
28
EPA
EPA / Play
2
31
EPA / Pass
6
21
EPA / Rush
1
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
5
Interceptions / Game
3
32
Fumbles / Game
17
3
Turnover EPA / Game
14
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
5
4th Down Efficiency
4
29
RZ Efficiency
3
10
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
7
Yards / Game
19
1
Passing Yards / Game
25
3
Rushing Yards / Game
6
16
EPA
EPA / Play
8
5
EPA / Pass
17
1
EPA / Rush
3
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
15
Interceptions / Game
1
9
Fumbles / Game
10
6
Turnover EPA / Game
32
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
12
4th Down Efficiency
16
19
RZ Efficiency
5
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
9-1
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U
Giants
5-4-1
SU
7-3
ATS
4-5-1
O/U