PHIEagles
5-7
33
TBD
MetLife Stadium
45°F
018
NYJJets
3-8
TBD
MetLife Stadium
45°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
7
17
3
6
33
Jets
12
6
0
0
18
Spread
-4.5
Total
OVER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
418
281
Total Plays
68
58
Yards / Play
6.1
4.8
EPA / Play
+0.33
+0.04
Passing Yards
233
211
Comp/Att
20/25(80%)
23/39(59%)
Yards / Pass
9.3
5.4
EPA / Pass
+0.57
+0.03
Rushing Yards
185
70
Rush Attempts
41
17
Yards / Rush
4.5
4.1
EPA / Rush
+0.03
-0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
21
Passing 1st downs
13
15
Rushing 1st downs
9
4
Penalty 1st downs
4
2
3rd Down %
46%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
9
Red Zone %
33%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-2.47
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-9
-15
Sack EPA
-1.90
-3.07
Penalties
3
6
Penalty Yards
20
66
Penalty EPA
-2.54
-9.03
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-4.5
Model
-5.0
Win Probability
Market66.6%
Model67.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-155
Home nfelo
1,334
Away nfelo
1,508
Home Field
+51.8
Base HFA
+38.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+13.4
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-33.0
Home QB Adjustment
-39.6
Away QB Adjustment
-6.7
Market Regression
+47.5
Final Difference
-127.1
Model Spread
+5.0
Quarterbacks
G. Minshew
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-6.7
Z. Wilson
Proj. Value
-3.7
Team Elo Adj
-39.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
32
Yards / Game
13
32
Passing Yards / Game
17
16
Rushing Yards / Game
1
29
EPA
EPA / Play
10
32
EPA / Pass
14
32
EPA / Rush
3
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
4
Interceptions / Game
7
30
Fumbles / Game
4
18
Turnover EPA / Game
27
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
27
4th Down Efficiency
25
26
RZ Efficiency
8
19
Jets Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
19
Yards / Game
26
10
Passing Yards / Game
13
3
Rushing Yards / Game
25
9
EPA
EPA / Play
25
18
EPA / Pass
29
23
EPA / Rush
13
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
26
Interceptions / Game
29
21
Fumbles / Game
7
31
Turnover EPA / Game
9
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
23
4th Down Efficiency
23
9
RZ Efficiency
20
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Jets
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
6-4
O/U