PHIEagles
-
38
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
035
DETLions
-
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
18
14
0
32
Lions
7
7
7
14
35
Spread
+5.5
Total
OVER
49
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
455
386
Total Plays
72
66
Yards / Play
6.3
5.8
EPA / Play
+0.18
+0.11
Passing Yards
239
205
Comp/Att
18/32(56%)
21/37(57%)
Yards / Pass
7.5
5.5
EPA / Pass
+0.11
-0.06
Rushing Yards
216
181
Rush Attempts
39
28
Yards / Rush
5.5
6.5
EPA / Rush
+0.37
+0.36
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
27
23
Passing 1st downs
12
12
Rushing 1st downs
13
9
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
59%
64%
3rd Down Conversions
10
9
3rd Down Attempts
17
14
Red Zone %
80%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
4
4
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-6.98
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-4
-10
Sack EPA
-0.60
-2.54
Penalties
10
7
Penalty Yards
61
65
Penalty EPA
-8.36
-8.04
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-5.5
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market68.5%
Model61.3%
Spread Pick
Lions+5.5
Expected Value
+16.1%
Cover Probability
60.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-30
Home nfelo
1,432
Away nfelo
1,514
Home Field
+49.6
Base HFA
+36.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+12.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+1.3
Home QB Adjustment
+2.0
Away QB Adjustment
+0.6
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-80.0
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+0.6
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+2.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
28
Yards / Game
3
32
Passing Yards / Game
6
22
Rushing Yards / Game
4
29
EPA
EPA / Play
2
30
EPA / Pass
6
24
EPA / Rush
1
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
31
Interceptions / Game
3
19
Fumbles / Game
17
14
Turnover EPA / Game
14
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
30
4th Down Efficiency
4
21
RZ Efficiency
3
26
Lions Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
7
Yards / Game
4
1
Passing Yards / Game
17
3
Rushing Yards / Game
11
16
EPA
EPA / Play
4
5
EPA / Pass
3
1
EPA / Rush
25
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
15
Interceptions / Game
2
9
Fumbles / Game
11
6
Turnover EPA / Game
30
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
12
4th Down Efficiency
10
19
RZ Efficiency
4
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
7-3
O/U
Lions
3-6-1
SU
6-3-1
ATS
5-5
O/U