PHIEagles
6-2
10
TBD
Lambeau Field
33°F
9 mph
7
GBPackers
5-2
TBD
Lambeau Field
33°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
0
3
7
10
Packers
0
0
0
7
7
Spread
+1
Total
UNDER
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
294
261
Total Plays
60
66
Yards / Play
4.9
4.0
EPA / Play
-0.12
-0.19
Passing Yards
--
157
Comp/Att
15/26(58%)
20/36(56%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.4
EPA / Pass
+0.33
-0.23
Rushing Yards
111
104
Rush Attempts
34
27
Yards / Rush
3.3
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.39
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
18
Passing 1st downs
8
10
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
44%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
7
5
3rd Down Attempts
16
13
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-5.39
-6.71
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-19
Sack EPA
--
-5.87
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
61
20
Penalty EPA
-4.87
-3.02
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
GBPackersFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-1.0
Model
-1.0
Win Probability
Market52.2%
Model52.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+7
Home nfelo
1,587
Away nfelo
1,609
Home Field
+16.8
Base HFA
+41.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-32.6
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+7.5
Net QB Adjustment
+12.3
Home QB Adjustment
+15.6
Away QB Adjustment
+3.2
Market Regression
-20.0
Final Difference
15.3
Model Spread
-1.0
Quarterbacks
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+1.6
Team Elo Adj
+3.2
J. Love
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+15.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
7
Yards / Game
25
6
Passing Yards / Game
23
13
Rushing Yards / Game
17
7
EPA
EPA / Play
18
20
EPA / Pass
12
20
EPA / Rush
22
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
27
Interceptions / Game
1
27
Fumbles / Game
6
19
Turnover EPA / Game
31
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
12
4th Down Efficiency
8
19
RZ Efficiency
1
22
Packers Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
8
Yards / Game
12
18
Passing Yards / Game
19
22
Rushing Yards / Game
19
19
EPA
EPA / Play
5
9
EPA / Pass
2
6
EPA / Rush
13
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
11
Interceptions / Game
3
18
Fumbles / Game
10
19
Turnover EPA / Game
27
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
20
4th Down Efficiency
9
3
RZ Efficiency
4
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
7-3
O/U
Packers
5-4-1
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U