PHIEagles
1-3
21
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
76°F
13 mph
18
CARPanthers
3-1
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
76°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
3
3
7
8
21
Panthers
10
3
0
3
16
Spread
+2.5
Total
UNDER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
275
267
Total Plays
62
70
Yards / Play
4.4
3.8
EPA / Play
-0.34
-0.35
Passing Yards
184
158
Comp/Att
22/38(58%)
21/37(57%)
Yards / Pass
4.8
4.3
EPA / Pass
-0.42
-0.49
Rushing Yards
91
109
Rush Attempts
22
30
Yards / Rush
4.1
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.16
-0.10
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
17
Passing 1st downs
8
9
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
31%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-7.69
-12.58
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-16
-19
Sack EPA
-3.96
-5.26
Penalties
6
9
Penalty Yards
60
69
Penalty EPA
-4.59
-5.91
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-2.5
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market56.1%
Model60.3%
Spread Pick
Panthers-2.5
Expected Value
+5.8%
Cover Probability
55.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+122
Home nfelo
1,518
Away nfelo
1,424
Home Field
+42.0
Base HFA
+42.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-13.9
Home QB Adjustment
+4.0
Away QB Adjustment
+17.9
Market Regression
-43.2
Final Difference
72.8
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+17.9
S. Darnold
Proj. Value
-0.6
Team Elo Adj
+4.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
20
Yards / Game
13
2
Passing Yards / Game
17
1
Rushing Yards / Game
1
18
EPA
EPA / Play
10
7
EPA / Pass
14
12
EPA / Rush
3
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
5
Interceptions / Game
7
27
Fumbles / Game
4
18
Turnover EPA / Game
27
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
8
4th Down Efficiency
25
18
RZ Efficiency
8
31
Panthers Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
19
Yards / Game
30
10
Passing Yards / Game
29
3
Rushing Yards / Game
20
9
EPA
EPA / Play
32
18
EPA / Pass
32
23
EPA / Rush
17
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
26
Interceptions / Game
32
21
Fumbles / Game
13
31
Turnover EPA / Game
1
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
23
4th Down Efficiency
31
9
RZ Efficiency
25
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Panthers
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
3-7
O/U